Recent resignations by Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick have left Rep. Cory Mills as the sole remaining member under active House Ethics Committee review for alleged misconduct. Mills has publicly stated he has no plans to step down, and procedural timelines for any potential expulsion vote or sanctions recommendation extend beyond the May 31 resolution date. Trader consensus at 89.5% on "No" aligns with these staggered ethics processes and the absence of immediate legislative or party pressure that would force Mills out within the narrow remaining window. Historical patterns show members facing similar probes often delay action until formal committee votes or criminal proceedings advance, further supporting the current implied probability.