Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from May 11 to May 13, 2026, driven by the live tracker logging exactly 46 posts as of 7:21 AM ET on May 13 after two full days at a subdued daily average of 23—well below his historical peaks of 60+ amid lulls in major news cycles. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his recent quieter phase, with no viral controversies, Tesla announcements, or political dust-ups sparking the high-volume sprees that define his pop culture posting habits. An upset into higher bins would require an abrupt surge, like a breaking SpaceX event or public feud, but with hours left in the window and steady pace, traders see minimal risk of breaching 64.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,960,194 거래량
$1,960,194 거래량
2026.05.13
<40
No
40-64
Yes
65-89
No
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,960,194 거래량
$1,960,194 거래량
2026.05.13
<40
$314,887 거래량
No
40-64
$328,915 거래량
Yes
65-89
$445,687 거래량
No
90-114
$534,237 거래량
No
115-139
$169,525 거래량
No
140-164
$65,957 거래량
No
165-189
$44,475 거래량
No
190-214
$22,783 거래량
No
215-239
$17,852 거래량
No
240+
$15,875 거래량
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 11 12:00 PM ET to May 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from May 11 to May 13, 2026, driven by the live tracker logging exactly 46 posts as of 7:21 AM ET on May 13 after two full days at a subdued daily average of 23—well below his historical peaks of 60+ amid lulls in major news cycles. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his recent quieter phase, with no viral controversies, Tesla announcements, or political dust-ups sparking the high-volume sprees that define his pop culture posting habits. An upset into higher bins would require an abrupt surge, like a breaking SpaceX event or public feud, but with hours left in the window and steady pace, traders see minimal risk of breaching 64.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 11 12:00 PM ET to May 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 9, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
거래량
$1,960,194종료일
2026.05.13마켓 개설일
May 9, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 11 12:00 PM ET to May 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from May 11 to May 13, 2026, driven by the live tracker logging exactly 46 posts as of 7:21 AM ET on May 13 after two full days at a subdued daily average of 23—well below his historical peaks of 60+ amid lulls in major news cycles. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his recent quieter phase, with no viral controversies, Tesla announcements, or political dust-ups sparking the high-volume sprees that define his pop culture posting habits. An upset into higher bins would require an abrupt surge, like a breaking SpaceX event or public feud, but with hours left in the window and steady pace, traders see minimal risk of breaching 64.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 11 12:00 PM ET to May 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$1,960,194종료일
2026.05.13마켓 개설일
May 9, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from May 11 to May 13, 2026, driven by the live tracker logging exactly 46 posts as of 7:21 AM ET on May 13 after two full days at a subdued daily average of 23—well below his historical peaks of 60+ amid lulls in major news cycles. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his recent quieter phase, with no viral controversies, Tesla announcements, or political dust-ups sparking the high-volume sprees that define his pop culture posting habits. An upset into higher bins would require an abrupt surge, like a breaking SpaceX event or public feud, but with hours left in the window and steady pace, traders see minimal risk of breaching 64.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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