Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times (48.1% implied probability) or 120-139 times (30.9%) from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15 12:00 PM ET, reflecting his steady mid-teens daily average of qualifying X posts—main feed originals, quotes, and reposts, excluding most replies. As of May 13, trackers log 43 posts over roughly five days elapsed, with recent 48-hour surges to 15-23 per day amid cultural commentary on Hollywood hypocrisy, immigration, and Oscars eligibility without viral spikes from Tesla, SpaceX, or politics. No major catalysts in the past day have altered momentum; weekend activity (May 14-15) remains a key variable, as historical patterns show lighter cycles absent breaking news or engagements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트100~119 48.3%
120~139 30.9%
80~99 12.1%
140~159 7.4%
$7,376,471 거래량
$7,376,471 거래량
2026.05.15
80~99
12%
100~119
48%
120~139
31%
140~159
7%
160~179
2%
180-199
1%
200~219
<1%
220~239
<1%
240~259
<1%
260~279
<1%
280~299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340~359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380~399
<1%
400~419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440~459
<1%
460~479
<1%
480~499
<1%
500+
<1%
100~119 48.3%
120~139 30.9%
80~99 12.1%
140~159 7.4%
$7,376,471 거래량
$7,376,471 거래량
2026.05.15
80~99
$974,088 거래량
12%
100~119
$352,007 거래량
48%
120~139
$360,367 거래량
31%
140~159
$296,874 거래량
7%
160~179
$272,083 거래량
2%
180-199
$225,047 거래량
1%
200~219
$261,138 거래량
<1%
220~239
$220,832 거래량
<1%
240~259
$307,268 거래량
<1%
260~279
$255,455 거래량
<1%
280~299
$204,633 거래량
<1%
300-319
$206,664 거래량
<1%
320-339
$192,775 거래량
<1%
340~359
$63,239 거래량
<1%
360-379
$68,264 거래량
<1%
380~399
$62,389 거래량
<1%
400~419
$58,683 거래량
<1%
420-439
$118,926 거래량
<1%
440~459
$91,560 거래량
<1%
460~479
$117,006 거래량
<1%
480~499
$86,800 거래량
<1%
500+
$183,686 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times (48.1% implied probability) or 120-139 times (30.9%) from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15 12:00 PM ET, reflecting his steady mid-teens daily average of qualifying X posts—main feed originals, quotes, and reposts, excluding most replies. As of May 13, trackers log 43 posts over roughly five days elapsed, with recent 48-hour surges to 15-23 per day amid cultural commentary on Hollywood hypocrisy, immigration, and Oscars eligibility without viral spikes from Tesla, SpaceX, or politics. No major catalysts in the past day have altered momentum; weekend activity (May 14-15) remains a key variable, as historical patterns show lighter cycles absent breaking news or engagements.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$7,376,471종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times (48.1% implied probability) or 120-139 times (30.9%) from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15 12:00 PM ET, reflecting his steady mid-teens daily average of qualifying X posts—main feed originals, quotes, and reposts, excluding most replies. As of May 13, trackers log 43 posts over roughly five days elapsed, with recent 48-hour surges to 15-23 per day amid cultural commentary on Hollywood hypocrisy, immigration, and Oscars eligibility without viral spikes from Tesla, SpaceX, or politics. No major catalysts in the past day have altered momentum; weekend activity (May 14-15) remains a key variable, as historical patterns show lighter cycles absent breaking news or engagements.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$7,376,471종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times (48.1% implied probability) or 120-139 times (30.9%) from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15 12:00 PM ET, reflecting his steady mid-teens daily average of qualifying X posts—main feed originals, quotes, and reposts, excluding most replies. As of May 13, trackers log 43 posts over roughly five days elapsed, with recent 48-hour surges to 15-23 per day amid cultural commentary on Hollywood hypocrisy, immigration, and Oscars eligibility without viral spikes from Tesla, SpaceX, or politics. No major catalysts in the past day have altered momentum; weekend activity (May 14-15) remains a key variable, as historical patterns show lighter cycles absent breaking news or engagements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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