Argentina's inclusion of Lionel Messi in their 55-man preliminary World Cup squad announced May 11 has solidified trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability to top Group J, reinforcing the defending champions' depth with talents like Garnacho and Martínez amid no major injuries, such as Julián Álvarez's clean bill. As top CONMEBOL qualifiers with superior FIFA ranking and title-winning form under Scaloni, they face a favorable path against lower-ranked foes. Austria's 17% reflects strong UEFA qualifying under Rangnick, recent friendly wins over Ghana and Korea Republic, and David Alaba's leadership, positioning them as primary challengers. Algeria's 6.3% stems from CAF group success led by Mahrez and Petković's counters, while debutants Jordan lag at 1.1% despite Al-Taamari's flair, hampered by injury concerns in prep.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Argentina 76%
Austria 17%
Algeria 6.3%
Jordan 1.1%
$86,310 거래량
$86,310 거래량
Argentina
76%
Austria
17%
Algeria
6%
Jordan
1%
Argentina 76%
Austria 17%
Algeria 6.3%
Jordan 1.1%
$86,310 거래량
$86,310 거래량
Argentina
76%
Austria
17%
Algeria
6%
Jordan
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's inclusion of Lionel Messi in their 55-man preliminary World Cup squad announced May 11 has solidified trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability to top Group J, reinforcing the defending champions' depth with talents like Garnacho and Martínez amid no major injuries, such as Julián Álvarez's clean bill. As top CONMEBOL qualifiers with superior FIFA ranking and title-winning form under Scaloni, they face a favorable path against lower-ranked foes. Austria's 17% reflects strong UEFA qualifying under Rangnick, recent friendly wins over Ghana and Korea Republic, and David Alaba's leadership, positioning them as primary challengers. Algeria's 6.3% stems from CAF group success led by Mahrez and Petković's counters, while debutants Jordan lag at 1.1% despite Al-Taamari's flair, hampered by injury concerns in prep.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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