FIFA President Gianni Infantino’s repeated public confirmations that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup as originally scheduled in the United States have anchored trader consensus on no replacement. Geopolitical friction between Iran and co-host United States prompted earlier speculation about a boycott or exclusion, including a Trump envoy’s proposal to insert Italy, yet Italian officials immediately labeled the idea inappropriate and FIFA rejected any substitution. Recent Iranian federation statements reaffirming participation while seeking security assurances have further reduced volatility. A late official withdrawal by Iran or an unprecedented FIFA reversal amid renewed hostilities could still open the door for alternatives like Italy or a regional side, though such outcomes remain remote given the tournament’s fixed calendar and emphasis on sporting qualification.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트No Replacement 85.6%
Italy 7.0%
UAE 3.8%
Other <1%
$31,261 거래량
$31,261 거래량
2026.08.31
No Replacement
86%
Italy
7%
UAE
4%
Other
1%
Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 85.6%
Italy 7.0%
UAE 3.8%
Other <1%
$31,261 거래량
$31,261 거래량
2026.08.31
No Replacement
$8,403 거래량
86%
Italy
$15,866 거래량
7%
UAE
$2,991 거래량
4%
Other
$2,310 거래량
1%
Bolivia
$1,691 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA President Gianni Infantino’s repeated public confirmations that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup as originally scheduled in the United States have anchored trader consensus on no replacement. Geopolitical friction between Iran and co-host United States prompted earlier speculation about a boycott or exclusion, including a Trump envoy’s proposal to insert Italy, yet Italian officials immediately labeled the idea inappropriate and FIFA rejected any substitution. Recent Iranian federation statements reaffirming participation while seeking security assurances have further reduced volatility. A late official withdrawal by Iran or an unprecedented FIFA reversal amid renewed hostilities could still open the door for alternatives like Italy or a regional side, though such outcomes remain remote given the tournament’s fixed calendar and emphasis on sporting qualification.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
거래량
$31,261종료일
2026.08.31마켓 개설일
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA President Gianni Infantino’s repeated public confirmations that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup as originally scheduled in the United States have anchored trader consensus on no replacement. Geopolitical friction between Iran and co-host United States prompted earlier speculation about a boycott or exclusion, including a Trump envoy’s proposal to insert Italy, yet Italian officials immediately labeled the idea inappropriate and FIFA rejected any substitution. Recent Iranian federation statements reaffirming participation while seeking security assurances have further reduced volatility. A late official withdrawal by Iran or an unprecedented FIFA reversal amid renewed hostilities could still open the door for alternatives like Italy or a regional side, though such outcomes remain remote given the tournament’s fixed calendar and emphasis on sporting qualification.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$31,261종료일
2026.08.31마켓 개설일
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA President Gianni Infantino’s repeated public confirmations that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup as originally scheduled in the United States have anchored trader consensus on no replacement. Geopolitical friction between Iran and co-host United States prompted earlier speculation about a boycott or exclusion, including a Trump envoy’s proposal to insert Italy, yet Italian officials immediately labeled the idea inappropriate and FIFA rejected any substitution. Recent Iranian federation statements reaffirming participation while seeking security assurances have further reduced volatility. A late official withdrawal by Iran or an unprecedented FIFA reversal amid renewed hostilities could still open the door for alternatives like Italy or a regional side, though such outcomes remain remote given the tournament’s fixed calendar and emphasis on sporting qualification.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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