Trader consensus favors Republicans at 70% to win Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's R+7 partisan lean and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections, where GOP candidates historically secure 55-62% in recent cycles despite incumbent Vern Buchanan's January retirement opening the race. A fresh Pete Polls survey shows Trump-endorsed Sydney Gruters dominating the Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 primaries, bolstering party prospects amid a fragmented Democratic primary featuring challengers like repeat candidate Jan Schneider. Democrats trail at 23.5% implied probability, constrained by past underperformance and limited fundraising, with the general election on November 3. Mid-decade redistricting has not altered the GOP edge.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,999 거래량
$14,999 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
70%
민주당
24%
$14,999 거래량
$14,999 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$5,726 거래량
70%
민주당
$9,273 거래량
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Republicans at 70% to win Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's R+7 partisan lean and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections, where GOP candidates historically secure 55-62% in recent cycles despite incumbent Vern Buchanan's January retirement opening the race. A fresh Pete Polls survey shows Trump-endorsed Sydney Gruters dominating the Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 primaries, bolstering party prospects amid a fragmented Democratic primary featuring challengers like repeat candidate Jan Schneider. Democrats trail at 23.5% implied probability, constrained by past underperformance and limited fundraising, with the general election on November 3. Mid-decade redistricting has not altered the GOP edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
거래량
$14,999종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Republicans at 70% to win Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's R+7 partisan lean and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections, where GOP candidates historically secure 55-62% in recent cycles despite incumbent Vern Buchanan's January retirement opening the race. A fresh Pete Polls survey shows Trump-endorsed Sydney Gruters dominating the Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 primaries, bolstering party prospects amid a fragmented Democratic primary featuring challengers like repeat candidate Jan Schneider. Democrats trail at 23.5% implied probability, constrained by past underperformance and limited fundraising, with the general election on November 3. Mid-decade redistricting has not altered the GOP edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,999종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Republicans at 70% to win Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's R+7 partisan lean and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections, where GOP candidates historically secure 55-62% in recent cycles despite incumbent Vern Buchanan's January retirement opening the race. A fresh Pete Polls survey shows Trump-endorsed Sydney Gruters dominating the Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 primaries, bolstering party prospects amid a fragmented Democratic primary featuring challengers like repeat candidate Jan Schneider. Democrats trail at 23.5% implied probability, constrained by past underperformance and limited fundraising, with the general election on November 3. Mid-decade redistricting has not altered the GOP edge.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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