Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan announced his retirement. The new congressional map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, produces a district where Trump carried the area by double digits in the prior cycle. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's underlying partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 Republican primary, while Democrats face their own primary featuring Jonathan Harris and others. With primaries still months away and no major late developments altering the baseline, trader pricing aligns with historical patterns for comparable open-seat districts in Republican-leaning territory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트FL-16 House Election Winner
FL-16 House Election Winner
$18,640 거래량
$18,640 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
26%
$18,640 거래량
$18,640 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$6,791 거래량
75%
Democratic Party
$11,849 거래량
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan announced his retirement. The new congressional map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, produces a district where Trump carried the area by double digits in the prior cycle. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's underlying partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 Republican primary, while Democrats face their own primary featuring Jonathan Harris and others. With primaries still months away and no major late developments altering the baseline, trader pricing aligns with historical patterns for comparable open-seat districts in Republican-leaning territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
거래량
$18,640종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan announced his retirement. The new congressional map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, produces a district where Trump carried the area by double digits in the prior cycle. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's underlying partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 Republican primary, while Democrats face their own primary featuring Jonathan Harris and others. With primaries still months away and no major late developments altering the baseline, trader pricing aligns with historical patterns for comparable open-seat districts in Republican-leaning territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$18,640종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan announced his retirement. The new congressional map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, produces a district where Trump carried the area by double digits in the prior cycle. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's underlying partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 Republican primary, while Democrats face their own primary featuring Jonathan Harris and others. With primaries still months away and no major late developments altering the baseline, trader pricing aligns with historical patterns for comparable open-seat districts in Republican-leaning territory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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