Florida's 20th Congressional District, with its Cook PVI of D+22 and history of Democratic general election margins exceeding 70%, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic Party winner in the November 3 general election, even after incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid federal fraud charges. The open seat features a crowded August 18 Democratic primary led in fundraising by Elijah Manley ($780K raised), alongside Luther Campbell and Dale Holness, while Republican contenders like Rod Joseph lag far behind in resources. Local Black leaders' May 4 rebuke of potential Debbie Wasserman Schultz entry highlights key voting blocs. Rare challenges could arise from a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, depressed turnout, or a massive Republican midterm wave, though Solid D ratings from Cook Political Report signal formidable barriers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,060 거래량
$15,060 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$15,060 거래량
$15,060 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$5,956 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$9,104 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th Congressional District, with its Cook PVI of D+22 and history of Democratic general election margins exceeding 70%, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic Party winner in the November 3 general election, even after incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid federal fraud charges. The open seat features a crowded August 18 Democratic primary led in fundraising by Elijah Manley ($780K raised), alongside Luther Campbell and Dale Holness, while Republican contenders like Rod Joseph lag far behind in resources. Local Black leaders' May 4 rebuke of potential Debbie Wasserman Schultz entry highlights key voting blocs. Rare challenges could arise from a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, depressed turnout, or a massive Republican midterm wave, though Solid D ratings from Cook Political Report signal formidable barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
거래량
$15,060종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th Congressional District, with its Cook PVI of D+22 and history of Democratic general election margins exceeding 70%, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic Party winner in the November 3 general election, even after incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid federal fraud charges. The open seat features a crowded August 18 Democratic primary led in fundraising by Elijah Manley ($780K raised), alongside Luther Campbell and Dale Holness, while Republican contenders like Rod Joseph lag far behind in resources. Local Black leaders' May 4 rebuke of potential Debbie Wasserman Schultz entry highlights key voting blocs. Rare challenges could arise from a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, depressed turnout, or a massive Republican midterm wave, though Solid D ratings from Cook Political Report signal formidable barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,060종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 20th Congressional District, with its Cook PVI of D+22 and history of Democratic general election margins exceeding 70%, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic Party winner in the November 3 general election, even after incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid federal fraud charges. The open seat features a crowded August 18 Democratic primary led in fundraising by Elijah Manley ($780K raised), alongside Luther Campbell and Dale Holness, while Republican contenders like Rod Joseph lag far behind in resources. Local Black leaders' May 4 rebuke of potential Debbie Wasserman Schultz entry highlights key voting blocs. Rare challenges could arise from a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, depressed turnout, or a massive Republican midterm wave, though Solid D ratings from Cook Political Report signal formidable barriers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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