Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open-seat race following term limits on incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, with the November 3 general election following August 18 primaries. Trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome at 77.5% reflects the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for GOP presidential and statewide candidates, combined with early polling leads for top Republican contenders such as Rep. Byron Donalds (who holds a commanding primary advantage backed by a Trump endorsement) over Democratic frontrunner David Jolly or Jerry Demings. Fundraising disparities, undecided voter patterns favoring the GOP in head-to-head tests, and the absence of structural Democratic advantages in Florida's electorate continue to anchor these probabilities, though primary results and any late shifts in turnout or economic conditions could narrow margins before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$24,399 거래량
$24,399 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican
77%
Democrat
23%
$24,399 거래량
$24,399 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican
$10,129 거래량
77%
Democrat
$14,270 거래량
23%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open-seat race following term limits on incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, with the November 3 general election following August 18 primaries. Trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome at 77.5% reflects the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for GOP presidential and statewide candidates, combined with early polling leads for top Republican contenders such as Rep. Byron Donalds (who holds a commanding primary advantage backed by a Trump endorsement) over Democratic frontrunner David Jolly or Jerry Demings. Fundraising disparities, undecided voter patterns favoring the GOP in head-to-head tests, and the absence of structural Democratic advantages in Florida's electorate continue to anchor these probabilities, though primary results and any late shifts in turnout or economic conditions could narrow margins before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
거래량
$24,399종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open-seat race following term limits on incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, with the November 3 general election following August 18 primaries. Trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome at 77.5% reflects the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for GOP presidential and statewide candidates, combined with early polling leads for top Republican contenders such as Rep. Byron Donalds (who holds a commanding primary advantage backed by a Trump endorsement) over Democratic frontrunner David Jolly or Jerry Demings. Fundraising disparities, undecided voter patterns favoring the GOP in head-to-head tests, and the absence of structural Democratic advantages in Florida's electorate continue to anchor these probabilities, though primary results and any late shifts in turnout or economic conditions could narrow margins before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$24,399종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open-seat race following term limits on incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, with the November 3 general election following August 18 primaries. Trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome at 77.5% reflects the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for GOP presidential and statewide candidates, combined with early polling leads for top Republican contenders such as Rep. Byron Donalds (who holds a commanding primary advantage backed by a Trump endorsement) over Democratic frontrunner David Jolly or Jerry Demings. Fundraising disparities, undecided voter patterns favoring the GOP in head-to-head tests, and the absence of structural Democratic advantages in Florida's electorate continue to anchor these probabilities, though primary results and any late shifts in turnout or economic conditions could narrow margins before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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