Recent polling from Emerson College and Stetson University in late March and April 2026 shows leading Republican candidates, including Trump-endorsed U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds, defeating top Democrats like David Jolly and Orange County Sheriff Jerry Demings by 5-8 points in hypothetical general election matchups, driving trader consensus to an 80% implied probability for a GOP winner. Florida's rightward shift, evidenced by Gov. Ron DeSantis's 19-point 2022 reelection victory amid an open seat due to term limits, reinforces this positioning, with Republicans holding registration edges in key battleground areas. The GOP primary remains competitive—Donalds leads many surveys over Casey DeSantis, Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, and James Fishback—while Democrats face a fragmented field. Primaries on August 18 could clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$18,133 거래량
$18,133 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
80%
민주당
20%
$18,133 거래량
$18,133 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$7,181 거래량
80%
민주당
$10,952 거래량
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling from Emerson College and Stetson University in late March and April 2026 shows leading Republican candidates, including Trump-endorsed U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds, defeating top Democrats like David Jolly and Orange County Sheriff Jerry Demings by 5-8 points in hypothetical general election matchups, driving trader consensus to an 80% implied probability for a GOP winner. Florida's rightward shift, evidenced by Gov. Ron DeSantis's 19-point 2022 reelection victory amid an open seat due to term limits, reinforces this positioning, with Republicans holding registration edges in key battleground areas. The GOP primary remains competitive—Donalds leads many surveys over Casey DeSantis, Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, and James Fishback—while Democrats face a fragmented field. Primaries on August 18 could clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
거래량
$18,133종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling from Emerson College and Stetson University in late March and April 2026 shows leading Republican candidates, including Trump-endorsed U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds, defeating top Democrats like David Jolly and Orange County Sheriff Jerry Demings by 5-8 points in hypothetical general election matchups, driving trader consensus to an 80% implied probability for a GOP winner. Florida's rightward shift, evidenced by Gov. Ron DeSantis's 19-point 2022 reelection victory amid an open seat due to term limits, reinforces this positioning, with Republicans holding registration edges in key battleground areas. The GOP primary remains competitive—Donalds leads many surveys over Casey DeSantis, Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, and James Fishback—while Democrats face a fragmented field. Primaries on August 18 could clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$18,133종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from Emerson College and Stetson University in late March and April 2026 shows leading Republican candidates, including Trump-endorsed U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds, defeating top Democrats like David Jolly and Orange County Sheriff Jerry Demings by 5-8 points in hypothetical general election matchups, driving trader consensus to an 80% implied probability for a GOP winner. Florida's rightward shift, evidenced by Gov. Ron DeSantis's 19-point 2022 reelection victory amid an open seat due to term limits, reinforces this positioning, with Republicans holding registration edges in key battleground areas. The GOP primary remains competitive—Donalds leads many surveys over Casey DeSantis, Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, and James Fishback—while Democrats face a fragmented field. Primaries on August 18 could clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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