**Frank F. Blas Jr. holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the August 1, 2026 Republican primary for Guam governor, followed closely by Vicente “Tony” Ada, with lower probabilities assigned to Marcel Camacho, Douglas Moylan, and Charlie Hermosa.** The contest centers on two main declared candidates after disqualifications removed others from the ballot: current Guam Legislature Speaker Blas Jr., paired with former Guam Community College president Mary A.Y. Okada, and state senator Ada, running with businessman Edward John Calvo. Blas benefits from his institutional role and established Republican base within the legislature, while Ada gained early visibility through his announcement and running-mate selection. Limited recent polling and the approaching primary deadline keep the race competitive, with ballot order (Ada listed first) and vote consolidation among remaining contenders as key variables that could shift implied probabilities before primary day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Vicente Ada 57%
Frank F. Blas Jr. 41%
Charlie Hermosa <1%
Douglas Moylan <1%
$35,465 거래량
$35,465 거래량
Vicente Ada
57%
Frank F. Blas Jr.
41%
Charlie Hermosa
1%
Douglas Moylan
1%
Marcel Camacho
1%
Vicente Ada 57%
Frank F. Blas Jr. 41%
Charlie Hermosa <1%
Douglas Moylan <1%
$35,465 거래량
$35,465 거래량
Vicente Ada
57%
Frank F. Blas Jr.
41%
Charlie Hermosa
1%
Douglas Moylan
1%
Marcel Camacho
1%
If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Frank F. Blas Jr. holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the August 1, 2026 Republican primary for Guam governor, followed closely by Vicente “Tony” Ada, with lower probabilities assigned to Marcel Camacho, Douglas Moylan, and Charlie Hermosa.** The contest centers on two main declared candidates after disqualifications removed others from the ballot: current Guam Legislature Speaker Blas Jr., paired with former Guam Community College president Mary A.Y. Okada, and state senator Ada, running with businessman Edward John Calvo. Blas benefits from his institutional role and established Republican base within the legislature, while Ada gained early visibility through his announcement and running-mate selection. Limited recent polling and the approaching primary deadline keep the race competitive, with ballot order (Ada listed first) and vote consolidation among remaining contenders as key variables that could shift implied probabilities before primary day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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