Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam's July 15 high near 28–30 °C under a building high-pressure ridge, supporting the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 33 % implied probability. Model consensus shows modest warming from early-July coastal cooling, yet spread remains wide because small shifts in Atlantic trough position, low-level cloud, or easterly flow can trim or boost daytime maxima by 2–3 °C. Historical July averages near 22 °C underscore the above-normal signal, while resolution hinges on official KNMI observations rather than model output. Traders appear to price in this narrow but uncertain window ahead of final model runs and the 48-hour forecast update.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 15일 암스테르담에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
7월 15일 암스테르담에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
28°C 35%
27°C 30%
29°C 18%
26°C 12%
신규
신규
2026.07.15
24°C 이하
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
12%
27°C
30%
28°C
35%
29°C
18%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C 이상
<1%
28°C 35%
27°C 30%
29°C 18%
26°C 12%
신규
신규
2026.07.15
24°C 이하
$888 거래량
1%
25°C
$927 거래량
2%
26°C
$1,386 거래량
12%
27°C
$584 거래량
30%
28°C
$2,991 거래량
35%
29°C
$273 거래량
18%
30°C
$560 거래량
2%
31°C
$255 거래량
1%
32°C
$621 거래량
<1%
33°C
$41 거래량
<1%
34°C 이상
$133 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam's July 15 high near 28–30 °C under a building high-pressure ridge, supporting the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 33 % implied probability. Model consensus shows modest warming from early-July coastal cooling, yet spread remains wide because small shifts in Atlantic trough position, low-level cloud, or easterly flow can trim or boost daytime maxima by 2–3 °C. Historical July averages near 22 °C underscore the above-normal signal, while resolution hinges on official KNMI observations rather than model output. Traders appear to price in this narrow but uncertain window ahead of final model runs and the 48-hour forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$8,659종료일
2026.07.15마켓 개설일
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam's July 15 high near 28–30 °C under a building high-pressure ridge, supporting the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 33 % implied probability. Model consensus shows modest warming from early-July coastal cooling, yet spread remains wide because small shifts in Atlantic trough position, low-level cloud, or easterly flow can trim or boost daytime maxima by 2–3 °C. Historical July averages near 22 °C underscore the above-normal signal, while resolution hinges on official KNMI observations rather than model output. Traders appear to price in this narrow but uncertain window ahead of final model runs and the 48-hour forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$8,659종료일
2026.07.15마켓 개설일
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam's July 15 high near 28–30 °C under a building high-pressure ridge, supporting the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 33 % implied probability. Model consensus shows modest warming from early-July coastal cooling, yet spread remains wide because small shifts in Atlantic trough position, low-level cloud, or easterly flow can trim or boost daytime maxima by 2–3 °C. Historical July averages near 22 °C underscore the above-normal signal, while resolution hinges on official KNMI observations rather than model output. Traders appear to price in this narrow but uncertain window ahead of final model runs and the 48-hour forecast update.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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