Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs currently favors a July 15 daily maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul, consistent with mid-month climatology of 27–29°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Marmara and Black Seas, combined with modest northerly flow, acts as the main cooling influence that caps peak temperatures, while variations in cloud cover, wind strength, or subsidence could push readings to 29°C or hold them at 26°C. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with traders tracking the next 12Z and 00Z model cycles plus Turkish State Meteorological Service updates for refinements ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 15?
28°C 47%
27°C 42%
29°C 8%
26°C 3.8%
신규
신규
2026.07.15
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
42%
28°C
47%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 47%
27°C 42%
29°C 8%
26°C 3.8%
신규
신규
2026.07.15
23°C or below
$476 거래량
<1%
24°C
$731 거래량
<1%
25°C
$176 거래량
1%
26°C
$253 거래량
4%
27°C
$705 거래량
42%
28°C
$747 거래량
47%
29°C
$262 거래량
8%
30°C
$133 거래량
3%
31°C
$211 거래량
1%
32°C
$250 거래량
<1%
33°C or higher
$140 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs currently favors a July 15 daily maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul, consistent with mid-month climatology of 27–29°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Marmara and Black Seas, combined with modest northerly flow, acts as the main cooling influence that caps peak temperatures, while variations in cloud cover, wind strength, or subsidence could push readings to 29°C or hold them at 26°C. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with traders tracking the next 12Z and 00Z model cycles plus Turkish State Meteorological Service updates for refinements ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$4,083종료일
2026.07.15마켓 개설일
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs currently favors a July 15 daily maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul, consistent with mid-month climatology of 27–29°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Marmara and Black Seas, combined with modest northerly flow, acts as the main cooling influence that caps peak temperatures, while variations in cloud cover, wind strength, or subsidence could push readings to 29°C or hold them at 26°C. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with traders tracking the next 12Z and 00Z model cycles plus Turkish State Meteorological Service updates for refinements ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$4,083종료일
2026.07.15마켓 개설일
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs currently favors a July 15 daily maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul, consistent with mid-month climatology of 27–29°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Marmara and Black Seas, combined with modest northerly flow, acts as the main cooling influence that caps peak temperatures, while variations in cloud cover, wind strength, or subsidence could push readings to 29°C or hold them at 26°C. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with traders tracking the next 12Z and 00Z model cycles plus Turkish State Meteorological Service updates for refinements ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문