Beijing's short-term numerical weather forecasts show a spread across 34–37°C for the July 15 daily maximum, reflecting model disagreement on the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and monsoon moisture transport. Clear, subsiding air under a stronger ridge favors 36–37°C readings, while increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, or a slight southward rain-belt shift could cap the peak near 34–35°C. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal July climatology (historical midsummer highs clustering 31–35°C) underpin the market’s concentration around these brackets, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for either strong cold advection or record heat in the current pattern. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 15일 베이징에서 가장 높은 기온?
7월 15일 베이징에서 가장 높은 기온?
36°C 38%
37°C 25%
35°C 18%
38°C 11.5%
신규
신규
2026.07.15
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
8%
35°C
18%
36°C
38%
37°C
25%
38°C
12%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 38%
37°C 25%
35°C 18%
38°C 11.5%
신규
신규
2026.07.15
31°C or below
$786 거래량
<1%
32°C
$192 거래량
<1%
33°C
$429 거래량
1%
34°C
$461 거래량
8%
35°C
$906 거래량
18%
36°C
$385 거래량
38%
37°C
$222 거래량
25%
38°C
$197 거래량
12%
39°C
$378 거래량
3%
40°C
$308 거래량
1%
41°C or higher
$621 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's short-term numerical weather forecasts show a spread across 34–37°C for the July 15 daily maximum, reflecting model disagreement on the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and monsoon moisture transport. Clear, subsiding air under a stronger ridge favors 36–37°C readings, while increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, or a slight southward rain-belt shift could cap the peak near 34–35°C. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal July climatology (historical midsummer highs clustering 31–35°C) underpin the market’s concentration around these brackets, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for either strong cold advection or record heat in the current pattern. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$4,884종료일
2026.07.15마켓 개설일
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's short-term numerical weather forecasts show a spread across 34–37°C for the July 15 daily maximum, reflecting model disagreement on the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and monsoon moisture transport. Clear, subsiding air under a stronger ridge favors 36–37°C readings, while increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, or a slight southward rain-belt shift could cap the peak near 34–35°C. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal July climatology (historical midsummer highs clustering 31–35°C) underpin the market’s concentration around these brackets, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for either strong cold advection or record heat in the current pattern. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$4,884종료일
2026.07.15마켓 개설일
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETBeijing's short-term numerical weather forecasts show a spread across 34–37°C for the July 15 daily maximum, reflecting model disagreement on the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and monsoon moisture transport. Clear, subsiding air under a stronger ridge favors 36–37°C readings, while increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, or a slight southward rain-belt shift could cap the peak near 34–35°C. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal July climatology (historical midsummer highs clustering 31–35°C) underpin the market’s concentration around these brackets, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for either strong cold advection or record heat in the current pattern. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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