Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models indicate Beijing's July 14 maximum will likely fall in the 33–35 °C range, with 34 °C emerging as the modal outcome amid lingering effects from July 13 rainfall that increased surface moisture and moderated afternoon heating. Traders are weighing the balance between daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, urban heat-island amplification, and possible weak frontal influences that could cap or boost temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 31–33 °C provide context, while ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns; any shift in the next model runs or official CMA guidance could quickly reprice the tightly bunched 33–35 °C contracts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 14일 베이징에서 가장 높은 기온?
7월 14일 베이징에서 가장 높은 기온?
34°C 37%
35°C 33%
33°C 16%
36°C 9%
신규
$25,971 거래량
신규
$25,971 거래량
2026.07.14
31°C 이하
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
16%
34°C
37%
35°C
33%
36°C
9%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C 이상
<1%
34°C 37%
35°C 33%
33°C 16%
36°C 9%
신규
$25,971 거래량
신규
$25,971 거래량
2026.07.14
31°C 이하
$4,158 거래량
1%
32°C
$4,216 거래량
3%
33°C
$2,487 거래량
16%
34°C
$2,447 거래량
37%
35°C
$2,728 거래량
33%
36°C
$2,568 거래량
9%
37°C
$4,238 거래량
2%
38°C
$2,237 거래량
1%
39°C
$591 거래량
<1%
40°C
$231 거래량
<1%
41°C 이상
$201 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models indicate Beijing's July 14 maximum will likely fall in the 33–35 °C range, with 34 °C emerging as the modal outcome amid lingering effects from July 13 rainfall that increased surface moisture and moderated afternoon heating. Traders are weighing the balance between daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, urban heat-island amplification, and possible weak frontal influences that could cap or boost temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 31–33 °C provide context, while ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns; any shift in the next model runs or official CMA guidance could quickly reprice the tightly bunched 33–35 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
거래량
$25,971종료일
2026.07.14마켓 개설일
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models indicate Beijing's July 14 maximum will likely fall in the 33–35 °C range, with 34 °C emerging as the modal outcome amid lingering effects from July 13 rainfall that increased surface moisture and moderated afternoon heating. Traders are weighing the balance between daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, urban heat-island amplification, and possible weak frontal influences that could cap or boost temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 31–33 °C provide context, while ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns; any shift in the next model runs or official CMA guidance could quickly reprice the tightly bunched 33–35 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$25,971종료일
2026.07.14마켓 개설일
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from global and regional models indicate Beijing's July 14 maximum will likely fall in the 33–35 °C range, with 34 °C emerging as the modal outcome amid lingering effects from July 13 rainfall that increased surface moisture and moderated afternoon heating. Traders are weighing the balance between daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, urban heat-island amplification, and possible weak frontal influences that could cap or boost temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 31–33 °C provide context, while ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns; any shift in the next model runs or official CMA guidance could quickly reprice the tightly bunched 33–35 °C contracts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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