Recent forecasts from global models indicate a high near 26–28°C for Istanbul on July 14, driven by moderate northerly flows off the Black Sea and Marmara that limit daytime heating under mostly sunny conditions. This setup aligns with typical mid-July variability, where Aegean and Bosphorus breezes often cap peaks below the 29°C climatological average. Trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome reflects latest ensemble runs showing limited warming potential, while spread across 25–28°C brackets captures remaining uncertainty from possible wind shifts or cloud cover in the final 48-hour period. Official updates from regional meteorological services will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 14일 이스탄불에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
25°C 62%
26°C 29%
24°C 5.8%
27°C 3.9%
$18,261 거래량
$18,261 거래량
21°C 이하
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
62%
26°C
29%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C 이상
<1%
25°C 62%
26°C 29%
24°C 5.8%
27°C 3.9%
$18,261 거래량
$18,261 거래량
21°C 이하
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
62%
26°C
29%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models indicate a high near 26–28°C for Istanbul on July 14, driven by moderate northerly flows off the Black Sea and Marmara that limit daytime heating under mostly sunny conditions. This setup aligns with typical mid-July variability, where Aegean and Bosphorus breezes often cap peaks below the 29°C climatological average. Trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome reflects latest ensemble runs showing limited warming potential, while spread across 25–28°C brackets captures remaining uncertainty from possible wind shifts or cloud cover in the final 48-hour period. Official updates from regional meteorological services will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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