Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara's June 28 daily maximum clustered around 27–29°C, driving the market's leading 30.5% implied probability on 28°C. Key variables include the strength and position of the subtropical high, which favors clear skies and strong diurnal heating, versus potential weak northerly advection or scattered cloud development that could cap peaks near 26–27°C. Model spread arises from timing uncertainties in any passing shortwave trough and local urban heat-island effects. Historical June averages near 25–28°C provide baseline context, yet the broad probability distribution signals genuine forecast divergence ahead of updated runs expected within 48 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 28일 앙카라에서 가장 높은 온도는?
27°C 43%
28°C 41%
26°C 13%
29°C 3.5%
$32,320 거래량
$32,320 거래량
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
13%
27°C
43%
28°C
41%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 43%
28°C 41%
26°C 13%
29°C 3.5%
$32,320 거래량
$32,320 거래량
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
13%
27°C
43%
28°C
41%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara's June 28 daily maximum clustered around 27–29°C, driving the market's leading 30.5% implied probability on 28°C. Key variables include the strength and position of the subtropical high, which favors clear skies and strong diurnal heating, versus potential weak northerly advection or scattered cloud development that could cap peaks near 26–27°C. Model spread arises from timing uncertainties in any passing shortwave trough and local urban heat-island effects. Historical June averages near 25–28°C provide baseline context, yet the broad probability distribution signals genuine forecast divergence ahead of updated runs expected within 48 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문