Current forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather places Austin highs in the 96–99°F range for late June under a building subtropical ridge, with southeasterly flow off the Gulf adding humidity that can cap afternoon peaks through scattered convection or haze. Model runs show minor spread in peak temperatures due to variable boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak disturbances, producing the market’s tight clustering around 96–99°F outcomes. Historical June averages near 93–96°F and the absence of strong cold fronts or tropical moisture this week keep probabilities centered in this band, while any strengthening of the ridge or clearer skies could nudge readings toward 100°F.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 29일 오스틴에서 가장 높은 기온?
96-97°F 43%
94-95°F 35%
98-99°F 12%
92-93°F 4.5%
91°F 이하
1%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
43%
98-99°F
12%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F 이상
<1%
96-97°F 43%
94-95°F 35%
98-99°F 12%
92-93°F 4.5%
91°F 이하
1%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
43%
98-99°F
12%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 27, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather places Austin highs in the 96–99°F range for late June under a building subtropical ridge, with southeasterly flow off the Gulf adding humidity that can cap afternoon peaks through scattered convection or haze. Model runs show minor spread in peak temperatures due to variable boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak disturbances, producing the market’s tight clustering around 96–99°F outcomes. Historical June averages near 93–96°F and the absence of strong cold fronts or tropical moisture this week keep probabilities centered in this band, while any strengthening of the ridge or clearer skies could nudge readings toward 100°F.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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