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icon for 7월 13일 이스탄불에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?

7월 13일 이스탄불에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?

icon for 7월 13일 이스탄불에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?

7월 13일 이스탄불에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?

7월 11

7월 12

7월 13

7월 11

7월 12

7월 13

26°C 34%

27°C 18%

25°C 17%

24°C 9%

Polymarket
신규

26°C 34%

27°C 18%

25°C 17%

24°C 9%

Polymarket
신규

21°C 이하

$5 거래량

<1%

22°C

$5 거래량

3%

23°C

$0 거래량

4%

24°C

$0 거래량

9%

25°C

$8 거래량

17%

26°C

$12 거래량

34%

27°C

$0 거래량

18%

28°C

$0 거래량

7%

29°C

$0 거래량

5%

30°C

$43 거래량

<1%

31°C 이상

$41 거래량

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a daily maximum near 27–28°C for Istanbul on July 13, 2026, aligning with mid-month climatology of 27–29°C. Sea-breeze circulation off the Marmara and Black Seas, combined with modest northerly flow, is the dominant cooling mechanism keeping outcomes in the mid-20s most probable, while clearer skies or weaker winds could allow 28–29°C. Short-range forecast uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud build-up and exact steering of the subtropical ridge, with Turkish State Meteorological Service updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution. Trader distribution, heaviest at 25–26°C, reflects these variables and the narrow historical range for early-to-mid July.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$114
종료일
2026.07.13
마켓 개설일
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a daily maximum near 27–28°C for Istanbul on July 13, 2026, aligning with mid-month climatology of 27–29°C. Sea-breeze circulation off the Marmara and Black Seas, combined with modest northerly flow, is the dominant cooling mechanism keeping outcomes in the mid-20s most probable, while clearer skies or weaker winds could allow 28–29°C. Short-range forecast uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud build-up and exact steering of the subtropical ridge, with Turkish State Meteorological Service updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution. Trader distribution, heaviest at 25–26°C, reflects these variables and the narrow historical range for early-to-mid July.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$114
종료일
2026.07.13
마켓 개설일
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"7월 13일 이스탄불에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?"은 11개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 34%의 "26°C"이며, 이어서 18%의 "27°C"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 34¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 34%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"7월 13일 이스탄불에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Jul 11, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"7월 13일 이스탄불에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 11개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"7월 13일 이스탄불에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?"의 현재 유력 후보는 34%의 "26°C"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 34%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 18%의 "27°C"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"7월 13일 이스탄불에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.