Current ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a mild summer pattern over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's July 13 maximum most likely reaching 26–28°C due to moderate southerly advection under a weak high-pressure ridge and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms slightly above the 22–24°C July average while falling well short of heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with low spread, though minor shifts in steering flow or diurnal heating could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders price 27°C highest at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus central tendency and reduced tail risks for extremes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 13일 암스테르담에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
7월 13일 암스테르담에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
27°C 36%
26°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C 8%
신규
신규
2026.07.13
24°C 이하
6%
25°C
8%
26°C
27%
27°C
36%
28°C
23%
29°C
7%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C 이상
1%
27°C 36%
26°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C 8%
신규
신규
2026.07.13
24°C 이하
$0 거래량
6%
25°C
$0 거래량
8%
26°C
$22 거래량
27%
27°C
$18 거래량
36%
28°C
$6 거래량
23%
29°C
$0 거래량
7%
30°C
$0 거래량
5%
31°C
$0 거래량
3%
32°C
$167 거래량
<1%
33°C
$0 거래량
1%
34°C 이상
$0 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a mild summer pattern over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's July 13 maximum most likely reaching 26–28°C due to moderate southerly advection under a weak high-pressure ridge and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms slightly above the 22–24°C July average while falling well short of heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with low spread, though minor shifts in steering flow or diurnal heating could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders price 27°C highest at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus central tendency and reduced tail risks for extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$213종료일
2026.07.13마켓 개설일
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a mild summer pattern over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's July 13 maximum most likely reaching 26–28°C due to moderate southerly advection under a weak high-pressure ridge and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms slightly above the 22–24°C July average while falling well short of heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with low spread, though minor shifts in steering flow or diurnal heating could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders price 27°C highest at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus central tendency and reduced tail risks for extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$213종료일
2026.07.13마켓 개설일
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a mild summer pattern over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's July 13 maximum most likely reaching 26–28°C due to moderate southerly advection under a weak high-pressure ridge and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms slightly above the 22–24°C July average while falling well short of heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with low spread, though minor shifts in steering flow or diurnal heating could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders price 27°C highest at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus central tendency and reduced tail risks for extremes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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