Recent ensemble model guidance points to a moderating synoptic pattern over Moscow on July 7, with daytime highs most likely settling near 18–20°C amid increased mid-level moisture, cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This setup keeps probabilities tightly clustered around those bins, as small shifts in timing or coverage of precipitation could tip the daily maximum between 18°C and 20°C. Historical early-July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show cooler-than-normal conditions driven by enhanced westerly flow. Traders weigh these variables against model spread, noting that clearer breaks or stronger ridging could briefly allow 21°C readings before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Moscow on July 7?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 7?
20°C 35%
19°C 26%
21°C 20%
18°C 13%
신규
신규
2026.07.07
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
13%
19°C
26%
20°C
35%
21°C
20%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 35%
19°C 26%
21°C 20%
18°C 13%
신규
신규
2026.07.07
14°C or below
$822 거래량
<1%
15°C
$491 거래량
<1%
16°C
$358 거래량
1%
17°C
$263 거래량
1%
18°C
$99 거래량
13%
19°C
$495 거래량
26%
20°C
$109 거래량
35%
21°C
$52 거래량
20%
22°C
$259 거래량
5%
23°C
$144 거래량
1%
24°C or higher
$37 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble model guidance points to a moderating synoptic pattern over Moscow on July 7, with daytime highs most likely settling near 18–20°C amid increased mid-level moisture, cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This setup keeps probabilities tightly clustered around those bins, as small shifts in timing or coverage of precipitation could tip the daily maximum between 18°C and 20°C. Historical early-July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show cooler-than-normal conditions driven by enhanced westerly flow. Traders weigh these variables against model spread, noting that clearer breaks or stronger ridging could briefly allow 21°C readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$3,130종료일
2026.07.07마켓 개설일
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble model guidance points to a moderating synoptic pattern over Moscow on July 7, with daytime highs most likely settling near 18–20°C amid increased mid-level moisture, cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This setup keeps probabilities tightly clustered around those bins, as small shifts in timing or coverage of precipitation could tip the daily maximum between 18°C and 20°C. Historical early-July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show cooler-than-normal conditions driven by enhanced westerly flow. Traders weigh these variables against model spread, noting that clearer breaks or stronger ridging could briefly allow 21°C readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$3,130종료일
2026.07.07마켓 개설일
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble model guidance points to a moderating synoptic pattern over Moscow on July 7, with daytime highs most likely settling near 18–20°C amid increased mid-level moisture, cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This setup keeps probabilities tightly clustered around those bins, as small shifts in timing or coverage of precipitation could tip the daily maximum between 18°C and 20°C. Historical early-July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show cooler-than-normal conditions driven by enhanced westerly flow. Traders weigh these variables against model spread, noting that clearer breaks or stronger ridging could briefly allow 21°C readings before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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