Traders see the closely bunched probabilities around 22–26°C for Seoul’s July 7 overnight low as reflecting typical early-July climatology, where Korean Meteorological Administration records place morning lows near 21–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered precipitation limit radiative cooling while steering patterns and any sea-breeze shifts can add or subtract a degree. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer intervals allow the low to dip toward 22°C or whether monsoon moisture keeps readings nearer 25°C, directly influencing the tightest buckets.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 7?
23°C 46%
24°C 31%
22°C 23%
25°C 4%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
23%
23°C
46%
24°C
31%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 46%
24°C 31%
22°C 23%
25°C 4%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
23%
23°C
46%
24°C
31%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see the closely bunched probabilities around 22–26°C for Seoul’s July 7 overnight low as reflecting typical early-July climatology, where Korean Meteorological Administration records place morning lows near 21–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered precipitation limit radiative cooling while steering patterns and any sea-breeze shifts can add or subtract a degree. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer intervals allow the low to dip toward 22°C or whether monsoon moisture keeps readings nearer 25°C, directly influencing the tightest buckets.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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