Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul highlight tight clustering around 26–28°C maxima on July 7 due to competing influences from Aegean and Black Sea breezes that moderate daytime heating while seasonal July averages hover near 28°C. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by potential increases in cloud cover, northerly flow, or localized sea-breeze effects that cap highs slightly below climatological norms, supporting the market’s near-even split between the leading 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and updated model consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution probabilities as the event window approaches.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 7?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 7?
27°C 46%
26°C 37%
28°C 15%
25°C 2.9%
신규
$13,620 거래량
신규
$13,620 거래량
2026.07.07
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
37%
27°C
46%
28°C
15%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 46%
26°C 37%
28°C 15%
25°C 2.9%
신규
$13,620 거래량
신규
$13,620 거래량
2026.07.07
22°C or below
$420 거래량
<1%
23°C
$184 거래량
<1%
24°C
$417 거래량
<1%
25°C
$284 거래량
3%
26°C
$5,628 거래량
37%
27°C
$4,548 거래량
46%
28°C
$596 거래량
15%
29°C
$290 거래량
3%
30°C
$249 거래량
1%
31°C
$458 거래량
1%
32°C or higher
$545 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul highlight tight clustering around 26–28°C maxima on July 7 due to competing influences from Aegean and Black Sea breezes that moderate daytime heating while seasonal July averages hover near 28°C. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by potential increases in cloud cover, northerly flow, or localized sea-breeze effects that cap highs slightly below climatological norms, supporting the market’s near-even split between the leading 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and updated model consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution probabilities as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$13,620종료일
2026.07.07마켓 개설일
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul highlight tight clustering around 26–28°C maxima on July 7 due to competing influences from Aegean and Black Sea breezes that moderate daytime heating while seasonal July averages hover near 28°C. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by potential increases in cloud cover, northerly flow, or localized sea-breeze effects that cap highs slightly below climatological norms, supporting the market’s near-even split between the leading 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and updated model consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution probabilities as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$13,620종료일
2026.07.07마켓 개설일
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul highlight tight clustering around 26–28°C maxima on July 7 due to competing influences from Aegean and Black Sea breezes that moderate daytime heating while seasonal July averages hover near 28°C. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by potential increases in cloud cover, northerly flow, or localized sea-breeze effects that cap highs slightly below climatological norms, supporting the market’s near-even split between the leading 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and updated model consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution probabilities as the event window approaches.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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