Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models show a modest high in New York City today driven by onshore flow, partial cloud cover, and a stable air mass that has limited daytime heating. Official guidance centers the maximum temperature near 76–77 °F at key reporting sites such as LaGuardia and Central Park, aligning with the market’s 97.9 % implied probability for that bin. This consensus reflects recent model runs that have converged on limited mixing and a sea-breeze influence keeping readings below seasonal normals. Only a sharp, unexpected clearing or stronger southerly advection could push readings into the upper 70s, an outcome the latest observations make unlikely before sunset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 17일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
76-77°F 98.3%
78-79°F 2.1%
80-81°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$85,641 거래량
$85,641 거래량
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
98%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 98.3%
78-79°F 2.1%
80-81°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$85,641 거래량
$85,641 거래량
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
98%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models show a modest high in New York City today driven by onshore flow, partial cloud cover, and a stable air mass that has limited daytime heating. Official guidance centers the maximum temperature near 76–77 °F at key reporting sites such as LaGuardia and Central Park, aligning with the market’s 97.9 % implied probability for that bin. This consensus reflects recent model runs that have converged on limited mixing and a sea-breeze influence keeping readings below seasonal normals. Only a sharp, unexpected clearing or stronger southerly advection could push readings into the upper 70s, an outcome the latest observations make unlikely before sunset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문