Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France indicate a ridge of high pressure building over western Europe, favoring warm-air advection from the south and limited cloud cover that supports peak temperatures near 32–33°C in Paris on June 17. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with most solutions clustered between 31–34°C, reflecting typical early-summer variability and uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Trader consensus, shown in nearly even implied probabilities for 32°C and 33°C, mirrors this narrow forecast range while discounting lower-probability cooler or hotter outliers. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours could tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Paris on June 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 17?
32°C 32%
33°C 28%
31°C 20%
30°C 8.5%
신규
신규
2026.06.17
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
20%
32°C
32%
33°C
28%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 32%
33°C 28%
31°C 20%
30°C 8.5%
신규
신규
2026.06.17
27°C or below
$85 거래량
1%
28°C
$55 거래량
1%
29°C
$10 거래량
2%
30°C
$108 거래량
9%
31°C
$447 거래량
20%
32°C
$381 거래량
32%
33°C
$59 거래량
28%
34°C
$261 거래량
8%
35°C
$147 거래량
2%
36°C
$40 거래량
1%
37°C or higher
$50 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France indicate a ridge of high pressure building over western Europe, favoring warm-air advection from the south and limited cloud cover that supports peak temperatures near 32–33°C in Paris on June 17. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with most solutions clustered between 31–34°C, reflecting typical early-summer variability and uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Trader consensus, shown in nearly even implied probabilities for 32°C and 33°C, mirrors this narrow forecast range while discounting lower-probability cooler or hotter outliers. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours could tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$1,633종료일
2026.06.17마켓 개설일
Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France indicate a ridge of high pressure building over western Europe, favoring warm-air advection from the south and limited cloud cover that supports peak temperatures near 32–33°C in Paris on June 17. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with most solutions clustered between 31–34°C, reflecting typical early-summer variability and uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Trader consensus, shown in nearly even implied probabilities for 32°C and 33°C, mirrors this narrow forecast range while discounting lower-probability cooler or hotter outliers. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours could tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$1,633종료일
2026.06.17마켓 개설일
Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France indicate a ridge of high pressure building over western Europe, favoring warm-air advection from the south and limited cloud cover that supports peak temperatures near 32–33°C in Paris on June 17. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with most solutions clustered between 31–34°C, reflecting typical early-summer variability and uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Trader consensus, shown in nearly even implied probabilities for 32°C and 33°C, mirrors this narrow forecast range while discounting lower-probability cooler or hotter outliers. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours could tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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