Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting model guidance point to mostly cloudy conditions over Tokyo on June 17 amid the ongoing tsuyu rainy season, which favors overnight lows near 17–19 °C by suppressing radiative cooling through persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity. Seasonal climatology supports this range, with mid-June average minima around 18–19 °C, though any clearing or reduced moisture could allow slightly warmer readings near 20 °C. These factors align with the market’s heavy clustering on 19–20 °C outcomes while leaving room for minor downward revisions if new model runs confirm stronger marine influence or additional cloudiness. Updated guidance from the JMA and regional ensembles expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine the final distribution ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 17일 도쿄에서 가장 낮은 기온?
20°C 51%
19°C 25%
23°C 23.0%
22°C 7%
15°C 이하
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
5%
19°C
25%
20°C
51%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
23%
24°C
1%
25°C 이상
<1%
20°C 51%
19°C 25%
23°C 23.0%
22°C 7%
15°C 이하
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
5%
19°C
25%
20°C
51%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
23%
24°C
1%
25°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting model guidance point to mostly cloudy conditions over Tokyo on June 17 amid the ongoing tsuyu rainy season, which favors overnight lows near 17–19 °C by suppressing radiative cooling through persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity. Seasonal climatology supports this range, with mid-June average minima around 18–19 °C, though any clearing or reduced moisture could allow slightly warmer readings near 20 °C. These factors align with the market’s heavy clustering on 19–20 °C outcomes while leaving room for minor downward revisions if new model runs confirm stronger marine influence or additional cloudiness. Updated guidance from the JMA and regional ensembles expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine the final distribution ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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