Current short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to an overnight low near 20°C in Seoul on June 17, with model consensus supporting the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19–21°C. Mild early-summer conditions, elevated humidity, and increasing cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling compared with clearer nights earlier in the month, while daytime highs near 32–34°C sustain residual warmth into the early morning hours. Historical mid-June lows average 17–19°C, but recent model runs show a modest upward shift due to a stable high-pressure pattern and light winds. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of ensemble guidance against the potential for minor forecast revisions in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 17일 서울 최저 기온?
20°C 28%
19°C 25%
21°C 15%
17°C 5%
16°C 이하
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
3%
19°C
25%
20°C
28%
21°C
15%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C 이상
<1%
20°C 28%
19°C 25%
21°C 15%
17°C 5%
16°C 이하
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
3%
19°C
25%
20°C
28%
21°C
15%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to an overnight low near 20°C in Seoul on June 17, with model consensus supporting the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19–21°C. Mild early-summer conditions, elevated humidity, and increasing cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling compared with clearer nights earlier in the month, while daytime highs near 32–34°C sustain residual warmth into the early morning hours. Historical mid-June lows average 17–19°C, but recent model runs show a modest upward shift due to a stable high-pressure pattern and light winds. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of ensemble guidance against the potential for minor forecast revisions in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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