Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ensemble runs from ECMWF and AEMET, drive the market's tight clustering around 35°C (35.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) by projecting a daily maximum near those values for Madrid on June 17 amid typical early-summer high pressure, clear skies, and modest southerly flow. Current observations on June 15 show temperatures in the low 30s with a warming trend, aligning with climatological mid-June averages of 28–34°C while highlighting modest uncertainty from model spread on peak insolation and urban heat effects. Resolution will hinge on official AEMET station readings, with fresh model updates over the next 48 hours likely to refine the 34–37°C band that accounts for over 80% of implied probability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 17일 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온?
6월 17일 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온?
35°C 37%
36°C 31%
34°C 24%
37°C 5.2%
신규
신규
2026.06.17
32°C 이하
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
24%
35°C
37%
36°C
31%
37°C
5%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C 이상
<1%
35°C 37%
36°C 31%
34°C 24%
37°C 5.2%
신규
신규
2026.06.17
32°C 이하
$88 거래량
2%
33°C
$48 거래량
2%
34°C
$290 거래량
24%
35°C
$132 거래량
37%
36°C
$62 거래량
31%
37°C
$63 거래량
5%
38°C
$7 거래량
3%
39°C
$47 거래량
1%
40°C
$240 거래량
1%
41°C
$5 거래량
<1%
42°C 이상
$5 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ensemble runs from ECMWF and AEMET, drive the market's tight clustering around 35°C (35.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) by projecting a daily maximum near those values for Madrid on June 17 amid typical early-summer high pressure, clear skies, and modest southerly flow. Current observations on June 15 show temperatures in the low 30s with a warming trend, aligning with climatological mid-June averages of 28–34°C while highlighting modest uncertainty from model spread on peak insolation and urban heat effects. Resolution will hinge on official AEMET station readings, with fresh model updates over the next 48 hours likely to refine the 34–37°C band that accounts for over 80% of implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$825종료일
2026.06.17마켓 개설일
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ensemble runs from ECMWF and AEMET, drive the market's tight clustering around 35°C (35.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) by projecting a daily maximum near those values for Madrid on June 17 amid typical early-summer high pressure, clear skies, and modest southerly flow. Current observations on June 15 show temperatures in the low 30s with a warming trend, aligning with climatological mid-June averages of 28–34°C while highlighting modest uncertainty from model spread on peak insolation and urban heat effects. Resolution will hinge on official AEMET station readings, with fresh model updates over the next 48 hours likely to refine the 34–37°C band that accounts for over 80% of implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$825종료일
2026.06.17마켓 개설일
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models, including ensemble runs from ECMWF and AEMET, drive the market's tight clustering around 35°C (35.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) by projecting a daily maximum near those values for Madrid on June 17 amid typical early-summer high pressure, clear skies, and modest southerly flow. Current observations on June 15 show temperatures in the low 30s with a warming trend, aligning with climatological mid-June averages of 28–34°C while highlighting modest uncertainty from model spread on peak insolation and urban heat effects. Resolution will hinge on official AEMET station readings, with fresh model updates over the next 48 hours likely to refine the 34–37°C band that accounts for over 80% of implied probability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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