Current numerical weather models, including those aligned with UK Met Office and BBC guidance, indicate thundery showers and extensive cloud cover over Shenzhen on June 18, suppressing daytime heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 28–29°C. These conditions, typical of the early East Asian monsoon transition, limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling compared with the region's June climatological high near 31°C. Key variables differentiating nearby outcomes include convective timing, total cloud fraction, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift maxima by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent, fresh model runs and observational updates from regional agencies will likely refine trader positioning ahead of the daily peak reading.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 18?
29°C 33%
28°C 31%
30°C 18%
27°C 9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
31%
29°C
33%
30°C
18%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 33%
28°C 31%
30°C 18%
27°C 9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
31%
29°C
33%
30°C
18%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current numerical weather models, including those aligned with UK Met Office and BBC guidance, indicate thundery showers and extensive cloud cover over Shenzhen on June 18, suppressing daytime heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 28–29°C. These conditions, typical of the early East Asian monsoon transition, limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling compared with the region's June climatological high near 31°C. Key variables differentiating nearby outcomes include convective timing, total cloud fraction, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift maxima by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent, fresh model runs and observational updates from regional agencies will likely refine trader positioning ahead of the daily peak reading.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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