Current ensemble guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models places Tokyo’s June 18 maximum near the mid-month climatological normal of 26 °C, with a modest warm bias from the expected stronger Pacific high this summer. Trader consensus centers on 25–27 °C because short-range model spreads remain wide, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of any tsuyu frontal passage, and local sea-breeze effects. Outcomes above 28 °C would require clearer skies and stronger subsidence, while cooler readings hinge on increased onshore flow or lingering showers—both of which carry lower probabilities in the latest runs. Updated model guidance and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours are the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 18?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 18?
26°C 32%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
24°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.06.18
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
22%
26°C
32%
27°C
21%
28°C
7%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 32%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
24°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.06.18
21°C or below
$232 거래량
<1%
22°C
$28 거래량
1%
23°C
$23 거래량
3%
24°C
$44 거래량
11%
25°C
$6 거래량
22%
26°C
$17 거래량
32%
27°C
$62 거래량
21%
28°C
$1 거래량
7%
29°C
$296 거래량
6%
30°C
$27 거래량
1%
31°C or higher
$11 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models places Tokyo’s June 18 maximum near the mid-month climatological normal of 26 °C, with a modest warm bias from the expected stronger Pacific high this summer. Trader consensus centers on 25–27 °C because short-range model spreads remain wide, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of any tsuyu frontal passage, and local sea-breeze effects. Outcomes above 28 °C would require clearer skies and stronger subsidence, while cooler readings hinge on increased onshore flow or lingering showers—both of which carry lower probabilities in the latest runs. Updated model guidance and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours are the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$708종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models places Tokyo’s June 18 maximum near the mid-month climatological normal of 26 °C, with a modest warm bias from the expected stronger Pacific high this summer. Trader consensus centers on 25–27 °C because short-range model spreads remain wide, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of any tsuyu frontal passage, and local sea-breeze effects. Outcomes above 28 °C would require clearer skies and stronger subsidence, while cooler readings hinge on increased onshore flow or lingering showers—both of which carry lower probabilities in the latest runs. Updated model guidance and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours are the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$708종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETCurrent ensemble guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models places Tokyo’s June 18 maximum near the mid-month climatological normal of 26 °C, with a modest warm bias from the expected stronger Pacific high this summer. Trader consensus centers on 25–27 °C because short-range model spreads remain wide, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of any tsuyu frontal passage, and local sea-breeze effects. Outcomes above 28 °C would require clearer skies and stronger subsidence, while cooler readings hinge on increased onshore flow or lingering showers—both of which carry lower probabilities in the latest runs. Updated model guidance and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours are the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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