Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD indicate Munich’s June 18 maximum will likely peak near 30–32°C under predominantly sunny skies and light easterly or variable winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in daytime cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the precise timing of any weak trough, which can trim or add 1–2°C to the daily high. Historical June maxima in the region average near 22–24°C, so current guidance reflects a notable warm anomaly driven by high pressure and southerly advection. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Munich on June 18?
31°C 31%
32°C 25%
30°C 21%
29°C 9%
24°C 이하
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
21%
31°C
31%
32°C
25%
33°C
8%
34°C or higher
6%
31°C 31%
32°C 25%
30°C 21%
29°C 9%
24°C 이하
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
21%
31°C
31%
32°C
25%
33°C
8%
34°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD indicate Munich’s June 18 maximum will likely peak near 30–32°C under predominantly sunny skies and light easterly or variable winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in daytime cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the precise timing of any weak trough, which can trim or add 1–2°C to the daily high. Historical June maxima in the region average near 22–24°C, so current guidance reflects a notable warm anomaly driven by high pressure and southerly advection. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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