Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS show Istanbul's June 18 maximum temperatures likely peaking at 23–24°C under moderate northeasterly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical early-summer solar insolation. These closely matched market-implied odds (34% for 24°C, 33.5% for 23°C) reflect uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing over the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara, where sea-surface temperatures near 20°C can suppress afternoon heating by a degree or two. Minor variations in forecast cloud timing or wind speed differentiate the leading outcomes, while warmer 25°C+ scenarios remain possible only if clearer skies allow greater surface heating. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will likely sharpen trader consensus before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
24°C 34%
23°C 34%
25°C 15%
22°C 8%
신규
신규
2026.06.18
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
8%
23°C
34%
24°C
34%
25°C
15%
26°C
6%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 34%
23°C 34%
25°C 15%
22°C 8%
신규
신규
2026.06.18
19°C or below
$167 거래량
<1%
20°C
$168 거래량
<1%
21°C
$152 거래량
1%
22°C
$119 거래량
8%
23°C
$418 거래량
34%
24°C
$650 거래량
34%
25°C
$708 거래량
15%
26°C
$230 거래량
6%
27°C
$185 거래량
<1%
28°C
$97 거래량
<1%
29°C or higher
$246 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS show Istanbul's June 18 maximum temperatures likely peaking at 23–24°C under moderate northeasterly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical early-summer solar insolation. These closely matched market-implied odds (34% for 24°C, 33.5% for 23°C) reflect uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing over the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara, where sea-surface temperatures near 20°C can suppress afternoon heating by a degree or two. Minor variations in forecast cloud timing or wind speed differentiate the leading outcomes, while warmer 25°C+ scenarios remain possible only if clearer skies allow greater surface heating. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will likely sharpen trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ET
거래량
$3,141종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS show Istanbul's June 18 maximum temperatures likely peaking at 23–24°C under moderate northeasterly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical early-summer solar insolation. These closely matched market-implied odds (34% for 24°C, 33.5% for 23°C) reflect uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing over the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara, where sea-surface temperatures near 20°C can suppress afternoon heating by a degree or two. Minor variations in forecast cloud timing or wind speed differentiate the leading outcomes, while warmer 25°C+ scenarios remain possible only if clearer skies allow greater surface heating. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will likely sharpen trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$3,141종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS show Istanbul's June 18 maximum temperatures likely peaking at 23–24°C under moderate northeasterly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical early-summer solar insolation. These closely matched market-implied odds (34% for 24°C, 33.5% for 23°C) reflect uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing over the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara, where sea-surface temperatures near 20°C can suppress afternoon heating by a degree or two. Minor variations in forecast cloud timing or wind speed differentiate the leading outcomes, while warmer 25°C+ scenarios remain possible only if clearer skies allow greater surface heating. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will likely sharpen trader consensus before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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