Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show Seoul's June 17 maximum likely falling between 28–30°C, with 28°C edging ahead due to expected afternoon cloud cover limiting peak insolation. Steering flow from the northwest and moderate boundary-layer moisture are keeping temperatures below early-summer climatological peaks, while model spread in low-level humidity and timing of any weak frontal passage creates the narrow 36.5%–30% split between the top two outcomes. Historical June maxima in Seoul average near 26–27°C early in the month, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly tempered by variable cloudiness. Updated KMA short-range runs and 12–18 UTC model cycles over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further tightening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Seoul on June 17?
28°C 37%
29°C 31%
30°C 19%
27°C 15%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
15%
28°C
37%
29°C
31%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
2%
28°C 37%
29°C 31%
30°C 19%
27°C 15%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
15%
28°C
37%
29°C
31%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show Seoul's June 17 maximum likely falling between 28–30°C, with 28°C edging ahead due to expected afternoon cloud cover limiting peak insolation. Steering flow from the northwest and moderate boundary-layer moisture are keeping temperatures below early-summer climatological peaks, while model spread in low-level humidity and timing of any weak frontal passage creates the narrow 36.5%–30% split between the top two outcomes. Historical June maxima in Seoul average near 26–27°C early in the month, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly tempered by variable cloudiness. Updated KMA short-range runs and 12–18 UTC model cycles over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further tightening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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