Wellington’s mid-June maximum temperatures hinge on short-range model consensus from MetService and international guidance, with the market pricing 14–15°C as the leading outcomes due to a transitional synoptic pattern. Northerly or northwesterly flow over the Cook Strait can advect milder air and reduce mixing, supporting peaks near 15°C, while any strengthening southerly change or increased cloud cover would cap readings at 14°C or below. Recent early-June warmth, including record highs above 19°C, has given way to a near-average regime per NIWA’s seasonal outlook, but day-to-day variability from frontal timing and wind gusts keeps adjacent bins tightly contested. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will drive the sharpest repricing ahead of official resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 17일 웰링턴에서 가장 높은 온도는?
15°C 42%
14°C 41%
16°C 12%
13°C 5%
9°C 이하
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
41%
15°C
42%
16°C
12%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C 이상
1%
15°C 42%
14°C 41%
16°C 12%
13°C 5%
9°C 이하
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
41%
15°C
42%
16°C
12%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C 이상
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wellington’s mid-June maximum temperatures hinge on short-range model consensus from MetService and international guidance, with the market pricing 14–15°C as the leading outcomes due to a transitional synoptic pattern. Northerly or northwesterly flow over the Cook Strait can advect milder air and reduce mixing, supporting peaks near 15°C, while any strengthening southerly change or increased cloud cover would cap readings at 14°C or below. Recent early-June warmth, including record highs above 19°C, has given way to a near-average regime per NIWA’s seasonal outlook, but day-to-day variability from frontal timing and wind gusts keeps adjacent bins tightly contested. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will drive the sharpest repricing ahead of official resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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