Recent model consensus from MetService and international forecasters points to a maximum of 13°C for Wellington on June 18, aligning with the seasonal June average high of 12–13°C shaped by cool southerly flows across Cook Strait. Near-average temperatures in the NIWA seasonal outlook, combined with stable high-pressure patterns and limited northerly advection, underpin trader preference for 13–15°C outcomes. Minor forecast adjustments from wind shifts or cloud cover could nudge readings to 14°C, while stronger southerlies keep lower probabilities on 12°C or below. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these narrow margins ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wellington on June 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 18?
14°C 49%
15°C 27%
13°C 22%
16°C 2.5%
신규
신규
2026.06.18
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
22%
14°C
49%
15°C
27%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 49%
15°C 27%
13°C 22%
16°C 2.5%
신규
신규
2026.06.18
8°C or below
$300 거래량
<1%
9°C
$201 거래량
<1%
10°C
$243 거래량
<1%
11°C
$382 거래량
1%
12°C
$535 거래량
2%
13°C
$1,141 거래량
22%
14°C
$501 거래량
49%
15°C
$2,001 거래량
27%
16°C
$817 거래량
2%
17°C
$286 거래량
1%
18°C or higher
$300 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from MetService and international forecasters points to a maximum of 13°C for Wellington on June 18, aligning with the seasonal June average high of 12–13°C shaped by cool southerly flows across Cook Strait. Near-average temperatures in the NIWA seasonal outlook, combined with stable high-pressure patterns and limited northerly advection, underpin trader preference for 13–15°C outcomes. Minor forecast adjustments from wind shifts or cloud cover could nudge readings to 14°C, while stronger southerlies keep lower probabilities on 12°C or below. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these narrow margins ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$6,615종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from MetService and international forecasters points to a maximum of 13°C for Wellington on June 18, aligning with the seasonal June average high of 12–13°C shaped by cool southerly flows across Cook Strait. Near-average temperatures in the NIWA seasonal outlook, combined with stable high-pressure patterns and limited northerly advection, underpin trader preference for 13–15°C outcomes. Minor forecast adjustments from wind shifts or cloud cover could nudge readings to 14°C, while stronger southerlies keep lower probabilities on 12°C or below. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these narrow margins ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$6,615종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETRecent model consensus from MetService and international forecasters points to a maximum of 13°C for Wellington on June 18, aligning with the seasonal June average high of 12–13°C shaped by cool southerly flows across Cook Strait. Near-average temperatures in the NIWA seasonal outlook, combined with stable high-pressure patterns and limited northerly advection, underpin trader preference for 13–15°C outcomes. Minor forecast adjustments from wind shifts or cloud cover could nudge readings to 14°C, while stronger southerlies keep lower probabilities on 12°C or below. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these narrow margins ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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