**Recent escalation in tensions with Iran has prompted President Trump’s scheduled primetime address to the nation on Thursday evening, July 16, creating uncertainty over its duration among traders.** The announcement on Truth Social, timed amid diplomatic and military developments, leaves open whether the remarks will focus on a narrow update or broader policy context, keeping probabilities for 20-25 minutes (49%) and shorter bins (43.5%) closely matched. Historical patterns for such crisis-driven national addresses show wide variation, from concise statements to more extended explanations, while past Trump primetime speeches demonstrate flexibility in length depending on the moment’s demands. Factors such as confirmation of the exact format, any pre-speech briefings, or shifts in the underlying geopolitical situation could widen the gap by clarifying whether brevity or substance is prioritized. Resolution hinges on the live delivery length once the address begins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트20-25분 50%
30분 이상 45%
5분 미만 44%
5-10분 44%
신규
신규
2026.07.17
5분 미만
44%
5-10분
44%
10~15분
44%
15~20분
44%
20-25분
50%
25-30분
44%
30분 이상
45%
20-25분 50%
30분 이상 45%
5분 미만 44%
5-10분 44%
신규
신규
2026.07.17
5분 미만
$0 거래량
44%
5-10분
$0 거래량
44%
10~15분
$0 거래량
44%
15~20분
$0 거래량
44%
20-25분
$0 거래량
50%
25-30분
$0 거래량
44%
30분 이상
$0 거래량
45%
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804).
This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Speech to the Nation.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Speech to the Nation until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Speech to the Nation is cancelled or delayed beyond July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.**Recent escalation in tensions with Iran has prompted President Trump’s scheduled primetime address to the nation on Thursday evening, July 16, creating uncertainty over its duration among traders.** The announcement on Truth Social, timed amid diplomatic and military developments, leaves open whether the remarks will focus on a narrow update or broader policy context, keeping probabilities for 20-25 minutes (49%) and shorter bins (43.5%) closely matched. Historical patterns for such crisis-driven national addresses show wide variation, from concise statements to more extended explanations, while past Trump primetime speeches demonstrate flexibility in length depending on the moment’s demands. Factors such as confirmation of the exact format, any pre-speech briefings, or shifts in the underlying geopolitical situation could widen the gap by clarifying whether brevity or substance is prioritized. Resolution hinges on the live delivery length once the address begins.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804).
This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Speech to the Nation.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Speech to the Nation until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Speech to the Nation is cancelled or delayed beyond July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Speech to the Nation.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Speech to the Nation until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Speech to the Nation is cancelled or delayed beyond July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
마켓 개설일: Jul 13, 2026, 8:13 PM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.07.16마켓 개설일
Jul 13, 2026, 8:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804).
This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Speech to the Nation.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Speech to the Nation until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Speech to the Nation is cancelled or delayed beyond July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.**Recent escalation in tensions with Iran has prompted President Trump’s scheduled primetime address to the nation on Thursday evening, July 16, creating uncertainty over its duration among traders.** The announcement on Truth Social, timed amid diplomatic and military developments, leaves open whether the remarks will focus on a narrow update or broader policy context, keeping probabilities for 20-25 minutes (49%) and shorter bins (43.5%) closely matched. Historical patterns for such crisis-driven national addresses show wide variation, from concise statements to more extended explanations, while past Trump primetime speeches demonstrate flexibility in length depending on the moment’s demands. Factors such as confirmation of the exact format, any pre-speech briefings, or shifts in the underlying geopolitical situation could widen the gap by clarifying whether brevity or substance is prioritized. Resolution hinges on the live delivery length once the address begins.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804).
This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Speech to the Nation.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Speech to the Nation until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Speech to the Nation is cancelled or delayed beyond July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Speech to the Nation.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Speech to the Nation until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Speech to the Nation is cancelled or delayed beyond July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
거래량
$0종료일
2026.07.16마켓 개설일
Jul 13, 2026, 8:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent escalation in tensions with Iran has prompted President Trump’s scheduled primetime address to the nation on Thursday evening, July 16, creating uncertainty over its duration among traders.** The announcement on Truth Social, timed amid diplomatic and military developments, leaves open whether the remarks will focus on a narrow update or broader policy context, keeping probabilities for 20-25 minutes (49%) and shorter bins (43.5%) closely matched. Historical patterns for such crisis-driven national addresses show wide variation, from concise statements to more extended explanations, while past Trump primetime speeches demonstrate flexibility in length depending on the moment’s demands. Factors such as confirmation of the exact format, any pre-speech briefings, or shifts in the underlying geopolitical situation could widen the gap by clarifying whether brevity or substance is prioritized. Resolution hinges on the live delivery length once the address begins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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