Recent national polls released in early July 2026 show President Trump's job approval hovering at 37-40% with net ratings near -18 to -22, including record-low figures in several surveys amid sustained voter dissatisfaction with inflation, economic conditions, and foreign policy matters such as Iran. These results follow modest gains in June and reflect continued erosion in support across independents and some demographic groups. Weekly tracking aggregates indicate limited upward momentum entering the current period, leading traders to assign a 73.5% implied probability that approval will decline this week based on the trajectory of recent polling data and absence of major offsetting developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트상승
신규
신규
2026.07.17
상승
신규
신규
2026.07.17
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 17, 2026, than on July 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls released in early July 2026 show President Trump's job approval hovering at 37-40% with net ratings near -18 to -22, including record-low figures in several surveys amid sustained voter dissatisfaction with inflation, economic conditions, and foreign policy matters such as Iran. These results follow modest gains in June and reflect continued erosion in support across independents and some demographic groups. Weekly tracking aggregates indicate limited upward momentum entering the current period, leading traders to assign a 73.5% implied probability that approval will decline this week based on the trajectory of recent polling data and absence of major offsetting developments.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 17, 2026, than on July 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
마켓 개설일: Jul 10, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.07.17마켓 개설일
Jul 10, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 17, 2026, than on July 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls released in early July 2026 show President Trump's job approval hovering at 37-40% with net ratings near -18 to -22, including record-low figures in several surveys amid sustained voter dissatisfaction with inflation, economic conditions, and foreign policy matters such as Iran. These results follow modest gains in June and reflect continued erosion in support across independents and some demographic groups. Weekly tracking aggregates indicate limited upward momentum entering the current period, leading traders to assign a 73.5% implied probability that approval will decline this week based on the trajectory of recent polling data and absence of major offsetting developments.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 17, 2026, than on July 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
거래량
$0종료일
2026.07.17마켓 개설일
Jul 10, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent national polls released in early July 2026 show President Trump's job approval hovering at 37-40% with net ratings near -18 to -22, including record-low figures in several surveys amid sustained voter dissatisfaction with inflation, economic conditions, and foreign policy matters such as Iran. These results follow modest gains in June and reflect continued erosion in support across independents and some demographic groups. Weekly tracking aggregates indicate limited upward momentum entering the current period, leading traders to assign a 73.5% implied probability that approval will decline this week based on the trajectory of recent polling data and absence of major offsetting developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문