Illinois's status as a solidly Democratic state, with consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate contests, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton. Her March 2026 primary victory over established rivals, backed by Governor JB Pritzker and strong fundraising, positions the lieutenant governor as the clear successor to retiring incumbent Dick Durbin in a November general election against Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments that could shift the outlook remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or an unanticipated national political realignment before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$25,849 거래량
$25,849 거래량
2026.11.03
Juliana Stratton (D)
94%
Don Tracy (R)
3%
$25,849 거래량
$25,849 거래량
2026.11.03
Juliana Stratton (D)
$13,162 거래량
94%
Don Tracy (R)
$12,688 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's status as a solidly Democratic state, with consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate contests, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton. Her March 2026 primary victory over established rivals, backed by Governor JB Pritzker and strong fundraising, positions the lieutenant governor as the clear successor to retiring incumbent Dick Durbin in a November general election against Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments that could shift the outlook remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or an unanticipated national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
거래량
$25,849종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's status as a solidly Democratic state, with consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate contests, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton. Her March 2026 primary victory over established rivals, backed by Governor JB Pritzker and strong fundraising, positions the lieutenant governor as the clear successor to retiring incumbent Dick Durbin in a November general election against Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments that could shift the outlook remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or an unanticipated national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$25,849종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's status as a solidly Democratic state, with consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate contests, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton. Her March 2026 primary victory over established rivals, backed by Governor JB Pritzker and strong fundraising, positions the lieutenant governor as the clear successor to retiring incumbent Dick Durbin in a November general election against Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments that could shift the outlook remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or an unanticipated national political realignment before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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