Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models point to a minimum near 20–21°C in Paris on July 16 amid lingering warm advection and elevated dew points from the July heatwave, keeping overnight lows well above the historical early-July average of 15–16°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on expected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim or sustain the urban heat island effect by 1–2°C. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and observed trends in 2-meter temperatures, producing closely bunched implied probabilities that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant scenario.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 16일 파리에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
7월 16일 파리에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
20°C 33%
19°C 26%
21°C 18%
18°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.07.16
17°C 이하
4%
18°C
11%
19°C
26%
20°C
33%
21°C
18%
22°C
6%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C 이상
<1%
20°C 33%
19°C 26%
21°C 18%
18°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.07.16
17°C 이하
$71 거래량
4%
18°C
$59 거래량
11%
19°C
$1,820 거래량
26%
20°C
$257 거래량
33%
21°C
$360 거래량
18%
22°C
$49 거래량
6%
23°C
$365 거래량
<1%
24°C
$99 거래량
<1%
25°C
$183 거래량
<1%
26°C
$455 거래량
<1%
27°C 이상
$333 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models point to a minimum near 20–21°C in Paris on July 16 amid lingering warm advection and elevated dew points from the July heatwave, keeping overnight lows well above the historical early-July average of 15–16°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on expected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim or sustain the urban heat island effect by 1–2°C. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and observed trends in 2-meter temperatures, producing closely bunched implied probabilities that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$4,050종료일
2026.07.16마켓 개설일
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models point to a minimum near 20–21°C in Paris on July 16 amid lingering warm advection and elevated dew points from the July heatwave, keeping overnight lows well above the historical early-July average of 15–16°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on expected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim or sustain the urban heat island effect by 1–2°C. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and observed trends in 2-meter temperatures, producing closely bunched implied probabilities that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$4,050종료일
2026.07.16마켓 개설일
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models point to a minimum near 20–21°C in Paris on July 16 amid lingering warm advection and elevated dew points from the July heatwave, keeping overnight lows well above the historical early-July average of 15–16°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on expected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim or sustain the urban heat island effect by 1–2°C. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and observed trends in 2-meter temperatures, producing closely bunched implied probabilities that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant scenario.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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