Recent short-range forecasts from numerical weather prediction models position daily maximum temperatures in Ankara around 28–30°C for July 14, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Ankara’s continental climate typically produces July highs near the long-term average of 29–32°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies, with minimal cloud cover and light winds enhancing daytime heating. Current model consensus shows a stable ridge over the Anatolian plateau maintaining these conditions without significant advection of cooler air or moisture. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days ahead, limiting upside risk above 32°C or downside below 27°C, while historical climatology reinforces the narrow probability band traders have priced. Updated runs from major agencies will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 14일 앙카라에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
29°C 51%
28°C 39%
27°C 6.3%
30°C 5.9%
$21,475 거래량
$21,475 거래량
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
39%
29°C
51%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 51%
28°C 39%
27°C 6.3%
30°C 5.9%
$21,475 거래량
$21,475 거래량
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
39%
29°C
51%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from numerical weather prediction models position daily maximum temperatures in Ankara around 28–30°C for July 14, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Ankara’s continental climate typically produces July highs near the long-term average of 29–32°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies, with minimal cloud cover and light winds enhancing daytime heating. Current model consensus shows a stable ridge over the Anatolian plateau maintaining these conditions without significant advection of cooler air or moisture. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days ahead, limiting upside risk above 32°C or downside below 27°C, while historical climatology reinforces the narrow probability band traders have priced. Updated runs from major agencies will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문