Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a 7°C minimum temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station for May 14, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 97.5% implied probability amid a cool, showery pattern with temperatures ranging 7–14°C. This positioning reflects advection of continental polar air and overcast skies limiting radiative cooling below 7°C, cooler than the typical mid-May low of 9–12°C. Observations so far align closely, with morning readings near this threshold. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing overnight for deeper cooling to 6°C or persistent cloud cover trapping heat above 7°C, though model uncertainty bands (±2°C) strongly favor the current outcome; final Wunderground data will confirm resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 14일 파리에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
5월 14일 파리에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
7°C 100.0%
1°C 이하 <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$21,465 거래량
$21,465 거래량
2026.05.14
1°C 이하
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
100%
8°C
<1%
7°C 100.0%
1°C 이하 <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$21,465 거래량
$21,465 거래량
2026.05.14
1°C 이하
$723 거래량
<1%
2°C
$1,173 거래량
<1%
3°C
$593 거래량
<1%
4°C
$1,214 거래량
<1%
5°C
$3,506 거래량
<1%
6°C
$4,134 거래량
<1%
7°C
$2,245 거래량
100%
8°C
$4,590 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a 7°C minimum temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station for May 14, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 97.5% implied probability amid a cool, showery pattern with temperatures ranging 7–14°C. This positioning reflects advection of continental polar air and overcast skies limiting radiative cooling below 7°C, cooler than the typical mid-May low of 9–12°C. Observations so far align closely, with morning readings near this threshold. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing overnight for deeper cooling to 6°C or persistent cloud cover trapping heat above 7°C, though model uncertainty bands (±2°C) strongly favor the current outcome; final Wunderground data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
거래량
$21,465종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a 7°C minimum temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station for May 14, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 97.5% implied probability amid a cool, showery pattern with temperatures ranging 7–14°C. This positioning reflects advection of continental polar air and overcast skies limiting radiative cooling below 7°C, cooler than the typical mid-May low of 9–12°C. Observations so far align closely, with morning readings near this threshold. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing overnight for deeper cooling to 6°C or persistent cloud cover trapping heat above 7°C, though model uncertainty bands (±2°C) strongly favor the current outcome; final Wunderground data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$21,465종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETLatest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a 7°C minimum temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station for May 14, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 97.5% implied probability amid a cool, showery pattern with temperatures ranging 7–14°C. This positioning reflects advection of continental polar air and overcast skies limiting radiative cooling below 7°C, cooler than the typical mid-May low of 9–12°C. Observations so far align closely, with morning readings near this threshold. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing overnight for deeper cooling to 6°C or persistent cloud cover trapping heat above 7°C, though model uncertainty bands (±2°C) strongly favor the current outcome; final Wunderground data will confirm resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문