Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 5°C minimum temperature in Paris on May 15, 2026, at 99.8% implied probability, driven by early-morning observations at the official Paris-Montsouris station recording lows near 5°C amid a polar air descent bringing cooler-than-normal conditions. Météo-France forecasts confirm this with cloudy skies, showers, and northerly winds capping overnight radiative cooling, while model ensembles like ECMWF align on minimal further drops, projecting daytime highs around 14°C—well below mid-May climatological averages of 9–11°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing leading to enhanced cooling, though current synoptic patterns and high cloud cover make sub-5°C unlikely; final resolution awaits Météo-France's daily bulletin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 15일 파리에서 기온이 가장 낮으신가요?
5월 15일 파리에서 기온이 가장 낮으신가요?
5°C 99.8%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$16,547 거래량
$16,547 거래량
2026.05.15
-2°C 이하
<1%
-1°C
<1%
0°C
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
100%
5°C 99.8%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$16,547 거래량
$16,547 거래량
2026.05.15
-2°C 이하
$364 거래량
<1%
-1°C
$599 거래량
<1%
0°C
$992 거래량
<1%
1°C
$804 거래량
<1%
2°C
$793 거래량
1%
3°C
$867 거래량
1%
4°C
$1,351 거래량
1%
5°C
$2,240 거래량
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 5°C minimum temperature in Paris on May 15, 2026, at 99.8% implied probability, driven by early-morning observations at the official Paris-Montsouris station recording lows near 5°C amid a polar air descent bringing cooler-than-normal conditions. Météo-France forecasts confirm this with cloudy skies, showers, and northerly winds capping overnight radiative cooling, while model ensembles like ECMWF align on minimal further drops, projecting daytime highs around 14°C—well below mid-May climatological averages of 9–11°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing leading to enhanced cooling, though current synoptic patterns and high cloud cover make sub-5°C unlikely; final resolution awaits Météo-France's daily bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
거래량
$16,547종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 5°C minimum temperature in Paris on May 15, 2026, at 99.8% implied probability, driven by early-morning observations at the official Paris-Montsouris station recording lows near 5°C amid a polar air descent bringing cooler-than-normal conditions. Météo-France forecasts confirm this with cloudy skies, showers, and northerly winds capping overnight radiative cooling, while model ensembles like ECMWF align on minimal further drops, projecting daytime highs around 14°C—well below mid-May climatological averages of 9–11°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing leading to enhanced cooling, though current synoptic patterns and high cloud cover make sub-5°C unlikely; final resolution awaits Météo-France's daily bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$16,547종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETTrader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 5°C minimum temperature in Paris on May 15, 2026, at 99.8% implied probability, driven by early-morning observations at the official Paris-Montsouris station recording lows near 5°C amid a polar air descent bringing cooler-than-normal conditions. Météo-France forecasts confirm this with cloudy skies, showers, and northerly winds capping overnight radiative cooling, while model ensembles like ECMWF align on minimal further drops, projecting daytime highs around 14°C—well below mid-May climatological averages of 9–11°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing leading to enhanced cooling, though current synoptic patterns and high cloud cover make sub-5°C unlikely; final resolution awaits Météo-France's daily bulletin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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