Official observations from Météo-France at the Le Bourget resolution station recorded a minimum of exactly 5°C on May 15, locking in the market’s 100% consensus for that outcome. A cool northerly flow combined with persistent cloud cover and light showers suppressed both daytime heating and nighttime radiational cooling, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average low of 9–10°C. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS had clustered tightly around 5°C in the final 48 hours, reflecting the stable synoptic pattern. Only an unexpected clearing of skies or a sharp shift in wind direction overnight could have produced a lower reading, but neither materialized.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 15일 파리에서 기온이 가장 낮으신가요?
5°C 100.0%
-2°C 이하 <1%
-1°C <1%
0°C <1%
$17,478 거래량
$17,478 거래량
-2°C 이하
아니오
-1°C
아니오
0°C
아니오
1°C
아니오
2°C
아니오
3°C
아니오
4°C
아니오
5°C
예
6°C
아니오
7°C
아니오
8°C 이상
아니오
5°C 100.0%
-2°C 이하 <1%
-1°C <1%
0°C <1%
$17,478 거래량
$17,478 거래량
-2°C 이하
아니오
-1°C
아니오
0°C
아니오
1°C
아니오
2°C
아니오
3°C
아니오
4°C
아니오
5°C
예
6°C
아니오
7°C
아니오
8°C 이상
아니오
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
결과 제안됨: 예
이의 없음
최종 결과: 예
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
결과 제안됨: 예
이의 없음
최종 결과: 예
Official observations from Météo-France at the Le Bourget resolution station recorded a minimum of exactly 5°C on May 15, locking in the market’s 100% consensus for that outcome. A cool northerly flow combined with persistent cloud cover and light showers suppressed both daytime heating and nighttime radiational cooling, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average low of 9–10°C. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS had clustered tightly around 5°C in the final 48 hours, reflecting the stable synoptic pattern. Only an unexpected clearing of skies or a sharp shift in wind direction overnight could have produced a lower reading, but neither materialized.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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