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정치·주요 선거

Makerfield by-election Winner

icon for Makerfield by-election Winner
정치·주요 선거

Makerfield by-election Winner

Andy Burnham 62%

Robert Kenyon 30%

James Thomas Bryer 1.1%

Maria Deery <1%

Polymarket
신규

$27,153 거래량

Andy Burnham 62%

Robert Kenyon 30%

James Thomas Bryer 1.1%

Maria Deery <1%

Polymarket
신규

$27,153 거래량

Andy Burnham

$13,477 거래량

62%

Robert Kenyon

$9,891 거래량

30%

James Thomas Bryer

$297 거래량

1%

Maria Deery

$1,165 거래량

1%

John Skipworth

$1,034 거래량

1%

Simon Finkelstein

$1,289 거래량

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market at 61.5 percent because Labour’s National Executive Committee cleared him on 15 May to contest the seat vacated by outgoing MP Josh Simons, who resigned days earlier specifically to enable Burnham’s return to Westminster. The Greater Manchester mayor’s established regional profile and party organisation give him the strongest path to victory in this traditionally Labour constituency ahead of the expected 18 June poll. Robert Kenyon trails at 30.5 percent as Reform UK’s candidate, reflecting the party’s strong second-place finish in 2024 and its sweep of every ward in the constituency during recent local elections. Minor candidates remain priced below 2 percent each, underscoring the two-way contest between Burnham’s selection prospects and Reform’s local momentum.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
거래량
$27,153
마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market at 61.5 percent because Labour’s National Executive Committee cleared him on 15 May to contest the seat vacated by outgoing MP Josh Simons, who resigned days earlier specifically to enable Burnham’s return to Westminster. The Greater Manchester mayor’s established regional profile and party organisation give him the strongest path to victory in this traditionally Labour constituency ahead of the expected 18 June poll. Robert Kenyon trails at 30.5 percent as Reform UK’s candidate, reflecting the party’s strong second-place finish in 2024 and its sweep of every ward in the constituency during recent local elections. Minor candidates remain priced below 2 percent each, underscoring the two-way contest between Burnham’s selection prospects and Reform’s local momentum.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
거래량
$27,153
마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

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자주 묻는 질문

"Makerfield by-election Winner"은 6개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 62%의 "Andy Burnham"이며, 이어서 30%의 "Robert Kenyon"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 62¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 62%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "Makerfield by-election Winner"은 총 $27.2K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 May 14, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"Makerfield by-election Winner"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 6개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Makerfield by-election Winner"의 현재 유력 후보는 62%의 "Andy Burnham"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 62%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 30%의 "Robert Kenyon"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Makerfield by-election Winner"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.