Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary, driven by her strong performance at recent DFL conventions where she secured the party endorsement and by a May poll showing her support expanding to 55 percent after voters reviewed candidate records. As lieutenant governor, she has drawn backing from progressive figures and state party delegates, positioning her well against Representative Angie Craig, who leads in fundraising but trails in polling and convention strength. The August 11 primary date leaves limited time for shifts, though Craig's cash advantage and appeal in suburban districts could influence turnout among moderate voters. Traders appear to view the race as settled in Flanagan's favor based on these structural and polling trends.