Republican incumbent Bob Onder's reelection campaign in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+13 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 91% for a GOP hold. Onder, who won 61% in the 2024 general election after a competitive primary, recently secured President Trump's endorsement amid early 2026 candidate filings that feature weak Democratic contenders like 2024 nominee Bethany Mann. The district backed Trump 58-40 last cycle, underscoring its safe Republican status absent national Democratic waves. Scenarios to shift odds include a disruptive GOP primary on August 4, Onder scandal, or high-profile Democratic recruit boosting turnout in St. Louis exurbs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$62 거래량
92%
Democratic Party
$0 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder's reelection campaign in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+13 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 91% for a GOP hold. Onder, who won 61% in the 2024 general election after a competitive primary, recently secured President Trump's endorsement amid early 2026 candidate filings that feature weak Democratic contenders like 2024 nominee Bethany Mann. The district backed Trump 58-40 last cycle, underscoring its safe Republican status absent national Democratic waves. Scenarios to shift odds include a disruptive GOP primary on August 4, Onder scandal, or high-profile Democratic recruit boosting turnout in St. Louis exurbs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$62종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder's reelection campaign in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+13 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 91% for a GOP hold. Onder, who won 61% in the 2024 general election after a competitive primary, recently secured President Trump's endorsement amid early 2026 candidate filings that feature weak Democratic contenders like 2024 nominee Bethany Mann. The district backed Trump 58-40 last cycle, underscoring its safe Republican status absent national Democratic waves. Scenarios to shift odds include a disruptive GOP primary on August 4, Onder scandal, or high-profile Democratic recruit boosting turnout in St. Louis exurbs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$62종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Bob Onder's reelection campaign in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+13 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 91% for a GOP hold. Onder, who won 61% in the 2024 general election after a competitive primary, recently secured President Trump's endorsement amid early 2026 candidate filings that feature weak Democratic contenders like 2024 nominee Bethany Mann. The district backed Trump 58-40 last cycle, underscoring its safe Republican status absent national Democratic waves. Scenarios to shift odds include a disruptive GOP primary on August 4, Onder scandal, or high-profile Democratic recruit boosting turnout in St. Louis exurbs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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