Missouri's 6th Congressional District, with its R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a Republican stronghold following Rep. Sam Graves' retirement announcement on March 27, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for the GOP nominee in the November 3 general election despite the open seat. The GOP primary on August 4 pits conservative radio host Chris Stigall—backed by Graves' endorsement—against business owner Jim Ingram and others in this rural northern Missouri battleground, while Democrats like first-time candidate Josh Smead trail with limited fundraising and name recognition. Odds reflect historical dominance, including Graves' consistent double-digit victories, though a GOP primary scandal, nominee gaffe, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats could narrow the gap.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$28,012 거래량
$28,012 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
92%
민주당
8%
$28,012 거래량
$28,012 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$22,456 거래량
92%
민주당
$5,555 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 6th Congressional District, with its R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a Republican stronghold following Rep. Sam Graves' retirement announcement on March 27, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for the GOP nominee in the November 3 general election despite the open seat. The GOP primary on August 4 pits conservative radio host Chris Stigall—backed by Graves' endorsement—against business owner Jim Ingram and others in this rural northern Missouri battleground, while Democrats like first-time candidate Josh Smead trail with limited fundraising and name recognition. Odds reflect historical dominance, including Graves' consistent double-digit victories, though a GOP primary scandal, nominee gaffe, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$28,012종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 6th Congressional District, with its R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a Republican stronghold following Rep. Sam Graves' retirement announcement on March 27, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for the GOP nominee in the November 3 general election despite the open seat. The GOP primary on August 4 pits conservative radio host Chris Stigall—backed by Graves' endorsement—against business owner Jim Ingram and others in this rural northern Missouri battleground, while Democrats like first-time candidate Josh Smead trail with limited fundraising and name recognition. Odds reflect historical dominance, including Graves' consistent double-digit victories, though a GOP primary scandal, nominee gaffe, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$28,012종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 6th Congressional District, with its R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a Republican stronghold following Rep. Sam Graves' retirement announcement on March 27, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for the GOP nominee in the November 3 general election despite the open seat. The GOP primary on August 4 pits conservative radio host Chris Stigall—backed by Graves' endorsement—against business owner Jim Ingram and others in this rural northern Missouri battleground, while Democrats like first-time candidate Josh Smead trail with limited fundraising and name recognition. Odds reflect historical dominance, including Graves' consistent double-digit victories, though a GOP primary scandal, nominee gaffe, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats could narrow the gap.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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