Andy Burnham leads trader consensus at 55.8 percent, driven by his record as Mayor of Greater Manchester, strong Labour grassroots support, and repeated speculation about a future leadership transition. The 15.5 percent probability assigned to no change in 2026 aligns with the fixed term of the current Parliament and the absence of an imminent general election. Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner each sit at 8.5 percent on the back of their senior cabinet positions and visibility in policy debates. Lower odds for Conservative figures reflect the party's post-2024 position, while the remaining candidates draw limited support tied to specific policy niches or regional profiles. Recent parliamentary sessions and local government outcomes have sustained these relative standings without introducing decisive new catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트앤디 버넘 55.6%
2026년 차기 총리 없음 16%
웨스 스트리팅 9%
앤젤라 레이너 9%
$7,443,573 거래량
$7,443,573 거래량
앤디 버넘
56%
2026년 차기 총리 없음
16%
웨스 스트리팅
9%
앤젤라 레이너
9%
에드 밀리밴드
7%
알 칸즈
2%
나이절 파라지
1%
샤바나 마무드
1%
이베트 쿠퍼
1%
루시 파월
<1%
루퍼트 로우
<1%
레이첼 리브스
<1%
케미 바데녹
<1%
보리스 존슨
<1%
에드 데이비
<1%
브리짓 필립슨
<1%
로버트 제너릭
<1%
데이비드 래미
<1%
제임스 클레벌리
<1%
대런 존스
<1%
존 힐리
<1%
앤디 버넘 55.6%
2026년 차기 총리 없음 16%
웨스 스트리팅 9%
앤젤라 레이너 9%
$7,443,573 거래량
$7,443,573 거래량
앤디 버넘
56%
2026년 차기 총리 없음
16%
웨스 스트리팅
9%
앤젤라 레이너
9%
에드 밀리밴드
7%
알 칸즈
2%
나이절 파라지
1%
샤바나 마무드
1%
이베트 쿠퍼
1%
루시 파월
<1%
루퍼트 로우
<1%
레이첼 리브스
<1%
케미 바데녹
<1%
보리스 존슨
<1%
에드 데이비
<1%
브리짓 필립슨
<1%
로버트 제너릭
<1%
데이비드 래미
<1%
제임스 클레벌리
<1%
대런 존스
<1%
존 힐리
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Andy Burnham leads trader consensus at 55.8 percent, driven by his record as Mayor of Greater Manchester, strong Labour grassroots support, and repeated speculation about a future leadership transition. The 15.5 percent probability assigned to no change in 2026 aligns with the fixed term of the current Parliament and the absence of an imminent general election. Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner each sit at 8.5 percent on the back of their senior cabinet positions and visibility in policy debates. Lower odds for Conservative figures reflect the party's post-2024 position, while the remaining candidates draw limited support tied to specific policy niches or regional profiles. Recent parliamentary sessions and local government outcomes have sustained these relative standings without introducing decisive new catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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