Labour's heavy losses in the May 2026 local elections triggered a backbench revolt and multiple cabinet resignations, including that of Health Secretary Wes Streeting, sharply increasing pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer to resign or announce a timetable. This has elevated Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clear frontrunner in trader pricing, driven by his strong showing in Labour member polls, clearance by the party's National Executive Committee to contest the Makerfield by-election, and positioning as a unifying alternative. Secondary contenders such as Wes Streeting, Angela Rayner, and Ed Miliband reflect ongoing cabinet and parliamentary speculation, while the substantial share priced on no leadership change captures uncertainty over whether Starmer can stabilise his position before year-end amid procedural hurdles for any contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트앤디 버넘 55.6%
2026년 차기 총리 없음 16%
웨스 스트리팅 9%
앤젤라 레이너 9%
$7,443,770 거래량
$7,443,770 거래량
앤디 버넘
56%
2026년 차기 총리 없음
16%
웨스 스트리팅
9%
앤젤라 레이너
9%
에드 밀리밴드
7%
알 칸즈
3%
나이절 파라지
1%
샤바나 마무드
1%
이베트 쿠퍼
1%
루시 파월
<1%
루퍼트 로우
<1%
레이첼 리브스
<1%
케미 바데녹
<1%
보리스 존슨
<1%
에드 데이비
<1%
브리짓 필립슨
<1%
로버트 제너릭
<1%
데이비드 래미
<1%
제임스 클레벌리
<1%
대런 존스
<1%
존 힐리
<1%
앤디 버넘 55.6%
2026년 차기 총리 없음 16%
웨스 스트리팅 9%
앤젤라 레이너 9%
$7,443,770 거래량
$7,443,770 거래량
앤디 버넘
56%
2026년 차기 총리 없음
16%
웨스 스트리팅
9%
앤젤라 레이너
9%
에드 밀리밴드
7%
알 칸즈
3%
나이절 파라지
1%
샤바나 마무드
1%
이베트 쿠퍼
1%
루시 파월
<1%
루퍼트 로우
<1%
레이첼 리브스
<1%
케미 바데녹
<1%
보리스 존슨
<1%
에드 데이비
<1%
브리짓 필립슨
<1%
로버트 제너릭
<1%
데이비드 래미
<1%
제임스 클레벌리
<1%
대런 존스
<1%
존 힐리
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Labour's heavy losses in the May 2026 local elections triggered a backbench revolt and multiple cabinet resignations, including that of Health Secretary Wes Streeting, sharply increasing pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer to resign or announce a timetable. This has elevated Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clear frontrunner in trader pricing, driven by his strong showing in Labour member polls, clearance by the party's National Executive Committee to contest the Makerfield by-election, and positioning as a unifying alternative. Secondary contenders such as Wes Streeting, Angela Rayner, and Ed Miliband reflect ongoing cabinet and parliamentary speculation, while the substantial share priced on no leadership change captures uncertainty over whether Starmer can stabilise his position before year-end amid procedural hurdles for any contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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