**Hakeem Jeffries' incumbency as House Minority Leader and the district's strong Democratic lean (D+24) drive trader consensus at 93.5% for the NY-08 Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting historical base rates where congressional incumbents win renomination over 95% of the time.** Progressive NYC Councilmember Chi Ossé filed in November 2025 and challenger Vance Bostic entered by the April filing deadline, but neither has shown polling traction, fundraising momentum, or key endorsements to threaten upset in this Brooklyn-based battleground for party control. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a surge in challenger turnout among progressive voters, markets price minimal risk to Jeffries' path to renomination.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Hakeem Jeffries 93.5%
Vance Bostic 1.7%
Chi Ossé <1%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Hakeem Jeffries
94%
Vance Bostic
2%
Chi Ossé
1%
Hakeem Jeffries 93.5%
Vance Bostic 1.7%
Chi Ossé <1%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Hakeem Jeffries
$6,535 거래량
94%
Vance Bostic
$634 거래량
2%
Chi Ossé
$330 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.
If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Hakeem Jeffries' incumbency as House Minority Leader and the district's strong Democratic lean (D+24) drive trader consensus at 93.5% for the NY-08 Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting historical base rates where congressional incumbents win renomination over 95% of the time.** Progressive NYC Councilmember Chi Ossé filed in November 2025 and challenger Vance Bostic entered by the April filing deadline, but neither has shown polling traction, fundraising momentum, or key endorsements to threaten upset in this Brooklyn-based battleground for party control. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a surge in challenger turnout among progressive voters, markets price minimal risk to Jeffries' path to renomination.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.
If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Nov 11, 2025, 5:39 PM ET
거래량
$7,499종료일
2026.06.23마켓 개설일
Nov 11, 2025, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.
If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Hakeem Jeffries' incumbency as House Minority Leader and the district's strong Democratic lean (D+24) drive trader consensus at 93.5% for the NY-08 Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting historical base rates where congressional incumbents win renomination over 95% of the time.** Progressive NYC Councilmember Chi Ossé filed in November 2025 and challenger Vance Bostic entered by the April filing deadline, but neither has shown polling traction, fundraising momentum, or key endorsements to threaten upset in this Brooklyn-based battleground for party control. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a surge in challenger turnout among progressive voters, markets price minimal risk to Jeffries' path to renomination.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.
If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
거래량
$7,499종료일
2026.06.23마켓 개설일
Nov 11, 2025, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Hakeem Jeffries' incumbency as House Minority Leader and the district's strong Democratic lean (D+24) drive trader consensus at 93.5% for the NY-08 Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting historical base rates where congressional incumbents win renomination over 95% of the time.** Progressive NYC Councilmember Chi Ossé filed in November 2025 and challenger Vance Bostic entered by the April filing deadline, but neither has shown polling traction, fundraising momentum, or key endorsements to threaten upset in this Brooklyn-based battleground for party control. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a surge in challenger turnout among progressive voters, markets price minimal risk to Jeffries' path to renomination.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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