Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, a toss-up Lehigh Valley battleground encompassing Carbon, Lehigh, Northampton, and parts of Monroe counties, where Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie prevailed by a narrow 50.4%-49.4% margin in 2024. With the May 19 closed primary five days away—Mackenzie unopposed on the GOP side amid his $2.6 million cash advantage, while Democrat Bob Brooks leads prediction markets at 92% over Ryan Crosswell, Lamont McClure, and Carol Obando-Derstine—recent candidate debates and endorsements from figures like Gov. Josh Shapiro (Brooks) and ex-Rep. Susan Wild (Obando-Derstine) underscore national focus on Democratic strategies to flip the seat pivotal to GOP's slim 217-212 House majority. Voter economic concerns and suburban realignment trends bolster Dem positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
68%
Republican Party
29%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$3,585 거래량
68%
Republican Party
$292 거래량
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, a toss-up Lehigh Valley battleground encompassing Carbon, Lehigh, Northampton, and parts of Monroe counties, where Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie prevailed by a narrow 50.4%-49.4% margin in 2024. With the May 19 closed primary five days away—Mackenzie unopposed on the GOP side amid his $2.6 million cash advantage, while Democrat Bob Brooks leads prediction markets at 92% over Ryan Crosswell, Lamont McClure, and Carol Obando-Derstine—recent candidate debates and endorsements from figures like Gov. Josh Shapiro (Brooks) and ex-Rep. Susan Wild (Obando-Derstine) underscore national focus on Democratic strategies to flip the seat pivotal to GOP's slim 217-212 House majority. Voter economic concerns and suburban realignment trends bolster Dem positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
거래량
$3,877종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, a toss-up Lehigh Valley battleground encompassing Carbon, Lehigh, Northampton, and parts of Monroe counties, where Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie prevailed by a narrow 50.4%-49.4% margin in 2024. With the May 19 closed primary five days away—Mackenzie unopposed on the GOP side amid his $2.6 million cash advantage, while Democrat Bob Brooks leads prediction markets at 92% over Ryan Crosswell, Lamont McClure, and Carol Obando-Derstine—recent candidate debates and endorsements from figures like Gov. Josh Shapiro (Brooks) and ex-Rep. Susan Wild (Obando-Derstine) underscore national focus on Democratic strategies to flip the seat pivotal to GOP's slim 217-212 House majority. Voter economic concerns and suburban realignment trends bolster Dem positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,877종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, a toss-up Lehigh Valley battleground encompassing Carbon, Lehigh, Northampton, and parts of Monroe counties, where Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie prevailed by a narrow 50.4%-49.4% margin in 2024. With the May 19 closed primary five days away—Mackenzie unopposed on the GOP side amid his $2.6 million cash advantage, while Democrat Bob Brooks leads prediction markets at 92% over Ryan Crosswell, Lamont McClure, and Carol Obando-Derstine—recent candidate debates and endorsements from figures like Gov. Josh Shapiro (Brooks) and ex-Rep. Susan Wild (Obando-Derstine) underscore national focus on Democratic strategies to flip the seat pivotal to GOP's slim 217-212 House majority. Voter economic concerns and suburban realignment trends bolster Dem positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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