Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion at 93.5%, propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC in early April 2026, targeting a June listing at $1.75–$2 trillion valuation amid surging Starlink subscriber growth and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in the launch market. Recent boosts to the $2 trillion target, per Bloomberg reporting, reflect robust secondary share sales and Starship development milestones enhancing multi-planetary ambitions and satellite constellation expansion. This skin-in-the-game sentiment underscores SpaceX's telecom and space logistics leadership, though regulatory delays in SEC review, macroeconomic volatility, or valuation skepticism from high revenue multiples could compress outcomes below $1 trillion if roadshow feedback sours. Key catalysts include prospectus details and potential Nasdaq fast-track index inclusion.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1조+ 94%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음 1.7%
7,000억–8,000억 1.3%
8,000억–9,000억 1.2%
$3,400,552 거래량
$3,400,552 거래량
2027.12.31
5,000억 미만
<1%
5,000억~6,000억
<1%
6,000억–7,000억
<1%
7,000억–8,000억
1%
8,000억–9,000억
1%
9,000억–1조
1%
1조+
94%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음
2%
1조+ 94%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음 1.7%
7,000억–8,000억 1.3%
8,000억–9,000억 1.2%
$3,400,552 거래량
$3,400,552 거래량
2027.12.31
5,000억 미만
$374,455 거래량
<1%
5,000억~6,000억
$319,865 거래량
<1%
6,000억–7,000억
$287,072 거래량
<1%
7,000억–8,000억
$331,388 거래량
1%
8,000억–9,000억
$481,942 거래량
1%
9,000억–1조
$418,610 거래량
1%
1조+
$598,619 거래량
94%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음
$588,601 거래량
2%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion at 93.5%, propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC in early April 2026, targeting a June listing at $1.75–$2 trillion valuation amid surging Starlink subscriber growth and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in the launch market. Recent boosts to the $2 trillion target, per Bloomberg reporting, reflect robust secondary share sales and Starship development milestones enhancing multi-planetary ambitions and satellite constellation expansion. This skin-in-the-game sentiment underscores SpaceX's telecom and space logistics leadership, though regulatory delays in SEC review, macroeconomic volatility, or valuation skepticism from high revenue multiples could compress outcomes below $1 trillion if roadshow feedback sours. Key catalysts include prospectus details and potential Nasdaq fast-track index inclusion.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
거래량
$3,400,552종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion at 93.5%, propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC in early April 2026, targeting a June listing at $1.75–$2 trillion valuation amid surging Starlink subscriber growth and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in the launch market. Recent boosts to the $2 trillion target, per Bloomberg reporting, reflect robust secondary share sales and Starship development milestones enhancing multi-planetary ambitions and satellite constellation expansion. This skin-in-the-game sentiment underscores SpaceX's telecom and space logistics leadership, though regulatory delays in SEC review, macroeconomic volatility, or valuation skepticism from high revenue multiples could compress outcomes below $1 trillion if roadshow feedback sours. Key catalysts include prospectus details and potential Nasdaq fast-track index inclusion.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$3,400,552종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion at 93.5%, propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC in early April 2026, targeting a June listing at $1.75–$2 trillion valuation amid surging Starlink subscriber growth and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in the launch market. Recent boosts to the $2 trillion target, per Bloomberg reporting, reflect robust secondary share sales and Starship development milestones enhancing multi-planetary ambitions and satellite constellation expansion. This skin-in-the-game sentiment underscores SpaceX's telecom and space logistics leadership, though regulatory delays in SEC review, macroeconomic volatility, or valuation skepticism from high revenue multiples could compress outcomes below $1 trillion if roadshow feedback sours. Key catalysts include prospectus details and potential Nasdaq fast-track index inclusion.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문